Sport Picks

Latvia

Latvian Cup 2025 Upesciems pilsētas stadions

Super Nova

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alberts JDFS play Super Nova in the Latvian Cup 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alberts JDFS averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Super Nova averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Alberts JDFS won 1, Super Nova won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jul 12, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.19 for Alberts JDFS and 1.25 for Super Nova. This points to a Alberts JDFS double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Alberts JDFS

Draws

Super Nova

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Alberts JDFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Alberts JDFS has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Super Nova.
Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Alberts JDFS.
Cup tournament structure in Latvian Cup 2025 increases high-stakes performance focus.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Alberts JDFS Clean Sheet 19%

Super Nova Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alberts JDFS	Super Nova
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	17	10
Draws	6	4
Losses	7	15
Goals Scored	2.5	0.88
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Latvian Cup

Alberts JDFS vs Super Nova

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 2 - 0

1:3

Aug 24, 2024 Nakotnes liga

Super Nova vs Alberts JDFS

Possession: 55% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

1:0

Apr 28, 2024 Nakotnes liga

Alberts JDFS vs Super Nova

Possession: 48% - 53% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Oct 23, 2021 Nakotnes liga

Alberts JDFS vs Super Nova

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Aug 22, 2021 Nakotnes liga

Super Nova vs Alberts JDFS

Possession: 47% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alberts JDFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Brahmanis M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.92

Avg xA / game 1.25

Super Nova Compare

Top Goalscorer Augusts K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Maslovs R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alberts JDFS 85 / 100

Super Nova 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alberts JDFS Super Nova

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALB Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alberts JDFS scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Super Nova let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Alberts JDFS went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Super Nova lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alberts JDFS VS Super Nova

2.5 Goals Scored 0.88

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88

75% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 63%

75% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals

Jelgava-

TBD-

RFS-

Speks-

TBD-

FK Alberts-

Riga United-

TBD-

SK Babite-

Iecava-

TBD-

Kekava-Auda-

TBD-

Marupe-

TBD-

FK Metta-

FK Auda Riga-

TBD-

Grobina-

Livani-

TBD-

JFC Viola-

TBD-

Skanste-

Alberts JDFS-

TBD-

FK Smiltene-

TBD-

Super Nova-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Tukums 2000-

Kuivizu Spartaks-

TBD-

Upesciema Warriors-

TBD-

Riga Mariners-

Valmiera8

FK Limbazi0

TBD-

FK Cesis-

TBD-

Ogre United-

Plavinas-

TBD-

Namejs-

Rigas Futbola Skola-

TBD-

Bauskas / Memele-

AFA Olaine-

TBD-

Augsdaugavas-

RSU-

TBD-

LSPA-

Kuldigas/Goldingen-

TBD-

Salaspils FK-

Dienvidkurzemes-

TBD-

DSVK Traktors-

TBD-

Leevon PPK-

TBD-

BFC Daugavpils-

FK Union / JFK Daugava-

TBD-

Lielupe-

TBD-

Rezekne-

Talsi1

Aliance5

TBD-

Valka-

TBD-

JFK Ventspils-

TBD-

FK Liepaja-

1/64-finals

Jelgava-

TBD-

RFS-

Speks4

FK Alberts3

Riga United6

SK Babite0

Iecava1

Kekava-Auda2

TBD-

Marupe-

TBD-

FK Metta-

FK Auda Riga-

TBD-

Grobina-

Livani4

JFC Viola0

TBD-

Skanste-

Alberts JDFS-

TBD-

FK Smiltene-

TBD-

Super Nova-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Tukums 2000-

Kuivizu Spartaks0

Upesciema Warriors5

TBD-

Riga Mariners-

Valmiera6

FK Cesis0

TBD-

Ogre United-

Plavinas4

Namejs0

Rigas Futbola Skola8

Bauskas / Memele0

AFA Olaine-

TBD-

Augsdaugavas-

RSU5

LSPA1

Kuldigas/Goldingen2

Salaspils FK3

Dienvidkurzemes3

DSVK Traktors0

TBD-

Leevon PPK-

TBD-

BFC Daugavpils-

FK Union / JFK Daugava5

Lielupe0

TBD-

Rezekne-

Aliance9

Valka1

TBD-

JFK Ventspils-

TBD-

FK Liepaja-

1/32-finals

Jelgava-

TBD-

RFS-

Speks0

Riga United3

Kekava-Auda0

Marupe3

TBD-

FK Metta-

FK Auda Riga-

TBD-

Grobina-

Livani0

Skanste5

Alberts JDFS5

FK Smiltene3

TBD-

Super Nova-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Tukums 2000-

Upesciema Warriors0

Riga Mariners3

Valmiera4

Ogre United3

Plavinas3

Rigas Futbola Skola2

AFA Olaine3

Augsdaugavas1

RSU0

Salaspils FK6

Dienvidkurzemes1

Leevon PPK2

TBD-

BFC Daugavpils-

FK Union / JFK Daugava4

Rezekne0

Aliance0

JFK Ventspils6

TBD-

FK Liepaja-

1/16-finals

Jelgava-

TBD-

RFS-

Riga United0

Marupe3

TBD-

FK Metta-

FK Auda Riga-

TBD-

Grobina-

Skanste1

Alberts JDFS2

TBD-

Super Nova-

Riga FC-

TBD-

Tukums 2000-

Riga Mariners4

Valmiera3

Plavinas3

AFA Olaine5

Salaspils FK4

Leevon PPK5

TBD-

BFC Daugavpils-

FK Union / JFK Daugava1

JFK Ventspils3

TBD-

FK Liepaja-

1/8-finals

Jelgava0

RFS1

Marupe1

FK Metta4

FK Auda Riga1

Grobina0

Alberts JDFS1

Super Nova3

Riga FC4

Tukums 20000

Riga Mariners6

AFA Olaine1

Leevon PPK2

BFC Daugavpils4

JFK Ventspils0

FK Liepaja2

Quarter-finals

RFS3

FK Metta2

FK Auda Riga3

Super Nova1

Riga FC10

Riga Mariners0

BFC Daugavpils1

FK Liepaja2

Semi-finals

RFS0

FK Auda Riga2

Riga FC4

FK Liepaja0

Final

FK Auda Riga2

Riga FC1