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AlbinoLeffe vs Arzignano

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A AlbinoLeffe, Zanica
AlbinoLeffe Logo

AlbinoLeffe

1 - 2
FT
Arzignano Logo

Arzignano

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Sottini E.
Assist: Agostinelli M.
12'
De Santis E.
46' Event
Moretti M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between AlbinoLeffe and Arzignano finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arzignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
AlbinoLeffe
20%
Draws
44%
Arzignano
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arzignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arzignano come out ahead of AlbinoLeffe on wins alone.
  • AlbinoLeffe are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
AlbinoLeffe Clean Sheet 68%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AlbinoLeffe Arzignano
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.55 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Arzignano
1:2
Aug 15, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Arzignano vs AlbinoLeffe
2:1
Feb 15, 2026 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Arzignano
2:0
Oct 5, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs AlbinoLeffe
0:0
Jan 4, 2025 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Arzignano
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AlbinoLeffe Compare

Top Goalscorer Sottini E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Arzignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Moretti M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nanni N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AlbinoLeffe 50 / 100
Arzignano 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AlbinoLeffe Arzignano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AlbinoLeffe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AlbinoLeffe scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Arzignano conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

AlbinoLeffe has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AlbinoLeffe VS Arzignano
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AlbinoLeffe

(Home)
20 Sept
Juventus U23
3 : 5
AlbinoLeffe
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
13 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1
Carpi
31 Aug
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6

Arzignano

(Away)
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
06 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 1
Arzignano
02 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 3
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 6 6 0 0 10:2 18
2 Union Brescia 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
3 Trento 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
4 Ospitaletto 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
5 Arzignano 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
6 Alcione Milano 6 2 3 1 9:10 9
7 Treviso 6 2 3 1 7:6 9
8 Dolomiti Bellunesi 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
9 AlbinoLeffe 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Lumezzane 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
11 Lecco 6 2 2 2 4:3 8
12 Carpi 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
13 Novara 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
14 Desenzano Calvina 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
15 Pergolettese 6 1 3 2 1:3 6
16 Juventus U23 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
17 Pro Vercelli 6 1 2 3 5:10 5
18 Folgore Caratese 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
19 Giana Erminio 6 0 2 4 5:9 2
20 Renate 6 0 2 4 5:10 2
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)