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AlbinoLeffe vs Carpi

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A AlbinoLeffe, Zanica
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Figoli M.
19'
Astrologo A.
19'
Cassani S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A game between AlbinoLeffe and Carpi finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Carpi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
AlbinoLeffe
35%
Draws
40%
Carpi
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Carpi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and AlbinoLeffe come out ahead of Carpi on wins alone.
  • AlbinoLeffe are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Carpi here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
AlbinoLeffe Clean Sheet 17%
Carpi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AlbinoLeffe Carpi
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.11
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Carpi
0:1
Feb 17, 2013 Lega Pro C1/A
AlbinoLeffe vs Carpi
1:0
Oct 7, 2012 Lega Pro C1/A
Carpi vs AlbinoLeffe
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AlbinoLeffe Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Carpi Compare

Top Goalscorer Montipo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AlbinoLeffe 36 / 100
Carpi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AlbinoLeffe Carpi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AlbinoLeffe found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Carpi conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: AlbinoLeffe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AlbinoLeffe VS Carpi
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AlbinoLeffe

(Home)
20 Sept
Juventus U23
3 : 5
AlbinoLeffe
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
13 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1
Carpi
31 Aug
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6

Carpi

(Away)
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2
Carpi
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2
Cittadella
06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1
Carpi
02 Sept
Carpi
2 : 1
Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 6 6 0 0 10:2 18
2 Union Brescia 6 4 2 0 11:3 14
3 Ospitaletto 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
4 Arzignano 6 3 1 2 7:7 10
5 Alcione Milano 6 2 3 1 9:10 9
6 Trento 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
7 Dolomiti Bellunesi 5 2 3 0 4:2 9
8 AlbinoLeffe 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
9 Treviso 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
10 Lecco 6 2 2 2 4:3 8
11 Carpi 6 1 3 2 10:12 6
12 Novara 6 1 3 2 6:7 6
13 Pergolettese 6 1 3 2 1:3 6
14 Juventus U23 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
15 Pro Vercelli 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
16 Lumezzane 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
17 Desenzano Calvina 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
18 Folgore Caratese 6 0 3 3 6:9 3
19 Giana Erminio 6 0 2 4 5:9 2
20 Renate 6 0 2 4 5:10 2
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)