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AlbinoLeffe vs Ospitaletto

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A AlbinoLeffe, Zanica
AlbinoLeffe Logo

AlbinoLeffe

1 - 1
FT
Ospitaletto Logo

Ospitaletto

Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
De Paoli A.
Assist: Sassi S.
64'
Sub
De Paoli A. In: Desogus J.
Out: De Paoli A.
64'
Sub
Sali G. In: Stanzani L.
Out: Sali G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
AlbinoLeffe
35%
Draws
45%
Ospitaletto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ospitaletto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • AlbinoLeffe have won more games recently than Ospitaletto.
  • Model gives AlbinoLeffe a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
AlbinoLeffe Clean Sheet 13%
Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AlbinoLeffe Ospitaletto
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.45 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Ospitaletto
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ospitaletto vs AlbinoLeffe
3:0
Dec 8, 2025 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Ospitaletto
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AlbinoLeffe Compare

Top Goalscorer De Paoli A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Ospitaletto Compare

Top Goalscorer Nessi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AlbinoLeffe 40 / 100
Ospitaletto 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AlbinoLeffe Ospitaletto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AlbinoLeffe scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Ospitaletto has conceded goals in 68% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

AlbinoLeffe went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AlbinoLeffe VS Ospitaletto
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AlbinoLeffe

(Home)
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
13 Sept
Dolomiti Bellunesi
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
06 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
0 : 1
Carpi
31 Aug
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Ospitaletto
22 Aug
Giana Erminio
1 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
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Ospitaletto

(Away)
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 0
Juventus U23
06 Sept
Ospitaletto
3 : 1
Arzignano
31 Aug
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Ospitaletto
22 Aug
Ospitaletto
2 : 0
Lumezzane
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 5 5 0 0 9:2 15
2 Ospitaletto 5 3 2 0 11:4 11
3 Union Brescia 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Alcione Milano 5 2 3 0 9:6 9
5 Trento 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
6 Dolomiti Bellunesi 5 2 3 0 4:2 9
7 Treviso 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
8 Arzignano 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
9 Lecco 5 2 1 2 4:3 7
10 Carpi 5 1 2 2 8:10 5
11 Pro Vercelli 5 1 2 2 5:6 5
12 AlbinoLeffe 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
13 Novara 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 Lumezzane 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
15 Desenzano Calvina 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
16 Juventus U23 5 1 2 2 4:8 5
17 Pergolettese 5 1 2 2 1:3 5
18 Folgore Caratese 5 0 2 3 5:8 2
19 Renate 5 0 2 3 4:8 2
20 Giana Erminio 5 0 1 4 4:8 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)