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AlbinoLeffe vs Ospitaletto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A AlbinoLeffe, Zanica
Our Tip

Match Events

54' Event
De Paoli A.
Assist: Sassi S.
64'
Sub
De Paoli A. In: Desogus J.
Out: De Paoli A.
64'
Sub
Sali G. In: Stanzani L.
Out: Sali G.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
AlbinoLeffe
35%
Draws
25%
Ospitaletto
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AlbinoLeffe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Not much separates AlbinoLeffe and Ospitaletto on recent form.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
AlbinoLeffe Clean Sheet 68%
Ospitaletto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AlbinoLeffe Ospitaletto
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Ospitaletto
1:1
Apr 12, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Ospitaletto vs AlbinoLeffe
3:0
Dec 8, 2025 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Ospitaletto
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AlbinoLeffe Compare

Top Goalscorer De Paoli A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ospitaletto Compare

Top Goalscorer Nessi R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AlbinoLeffe 41 / 100
Ospitaletto 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AlbinoLeffe Ospitaletto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AlbinoLeffe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AlbinoLeffe scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Ospitaletto has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.

AlbinoLeffe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AlbinoLeffe VS Ospitaletto
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AlbinoLeffe

(Home)
30 Oct
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 2
Pergolettese
25 Oct
Renate
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
18 Oct
AlbinoLeffe
2 : 2
Novara
10 Oct
Lumezzane
3 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
03 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
Page 1 of 6

Ospitaletto

(Away)
31 Oct
Ospitaletto
0 : 0
Trento
25 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 1
Ospitaletto
18 Oct
Ospitaletto
2 : 3
Pergolettese
11 Oct
Treviso
0 : 1
Ospitaletto
03 Oct
Ospitaletto
1 : 1
Renate
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 12 10 0 2 19:6 30
2 Union Brescia 13 8 4 1 26:11 28
3 Trento 12 6 6 0 17:6 24
4 Arzignano 13 6 3 4 19:15 21
5 Ospitaletto 12 5 4 3 18:11 19
6 Treviso 12 5 4 3 12:9 19
7 Alcione Milano 13 4 6 3 21:19 18
8 Lecco 12 4 5 3 18:11 17
9 AlbinoLeffe 12 4 5 3 19:17 17
10 Pergolettese 12 4 5 3 12:12 17
11 Lumezzane 13 4 4 5 14:17 16
12 Desenzano Calvina 12 3 4 5 10:14 13
13 Novara 12 3 4 5 11:16 13
14 Pro Vercelli 12 3 4 5 11:20 13
15 Carpi 12 3 3 6 16:26 12
16 Giana Erminio 12 2 5 5 13:17 11
17 Juventus U23 12 2 5 5 12:19 11
18 Dolomiti Bellunesi 12 2 4 6 8:18 10
19 Renate 12 1 5 6 14:16 8
20 Folgore Caratese 12 1 4 7 11:21 7
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)