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AlbinoLeffe vs Pergolettese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A AlbinoLeffe, Zanica
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AlbinoLeffe host Pergolettese in the Serie C - Group A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: AlbinoLeffe at 1.62 goals for, 1.14 against; Pergolettese at 1 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor AlbinoLeffe slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 6, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.06, favoring AlbinoLeffe. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
AlbinoLeffe
35%
Draws
34%
Pergolettese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • AlbinoLeffe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on AlbinoLeffe taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
AlbinoLeffe Clean Sheet 20%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AlbinoLeffe Pergolettese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 1.62 1
Goals Conceded 1.14 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Pergolettese
3:0
Nov 29, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs AlbinoLeffe
0:0
Jan 19, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs AlbinoLeffe
1:2
Sep 13, 2024 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Pergolettese
3:0
Apr 20, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs AlbinoLeffe
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AlbinoLeffe 42 / 100
Pergolettese 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AlbinoLeffe Pergolettese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AlbinoLeffe scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Pergolettese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: AlbinoLeffe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

AlbinoLeffe VS Pergolettese
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AlbinoLeffe

(Home)
18 Oct
AlbinoLeffe
2 : 2
Novara
10 Oct
Lumezzane
3 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
03 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Juventus U23
3 : 5
AlbinoLeffe
Page 1 of 6

Pergolettese

(Away)
18 Oct
Ospitaletto
2 : 3
Pergolettese
10 Oct
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Carpi
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2
Pergolettese
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0
Trento
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0
Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 10 9 0 1 17:4 27
2 Trento 10 5 5 0 15:5 20
3 Union Brescia 10 5 4 1 17:8 19
4 Ospitaletto 10 5 3 2 17:9 18
5 Arzignano 10 5 2 3 14:11 17
6 Treviso 10 4 4 2 10:7 16
7 Alcione Milano 10 3 6 1 17:15 15
8 Pergolettese 10 3 5 2 8:8 14
9 Lecco 10 3 4 3 12:9 13
10 AlbinoLeffe 10 3 4 3 16:15 13
11 Desenzano Calvina 10 3 4 3 9:11 13
12 Lumezzane 10 3 3 4 11:14 12
13 Novara 10 2 4 4 10:14 10
14 Dolomiti Bellunesi 10 2 4 4 7:12 10
15 Juventus U23 10 2 4 4 10:16 10
16 Carpi 10 2 3 5 14:20 9
17 Pro Vercelli 10 2 3 5 8:18 9
18 Giana Erminio 10 1 5 4 10:13 8
19 Folgore Caratese 10 1 3 6 9:15 6
20 Renate 10 0 4 6 9:16 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)