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AlbinoLeffe vs Union Brescia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A AlbinoLeffe, Zanica
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AlbinoLeffe host Union Brescia in the Serie C - Group A. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Union Brescia have shipped 0.83 goals a game lately, while AlbinoLeffe have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.59. Past meetings favor AlbinoLeffe slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 3, 2026, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.75) point toward Union Brescia. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
AlbinoLeffe
20%
Draws
42%
Union Brescia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Union Brescia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: AlbinoLeffe at 1.59 per game, Union Brescia at 1.43.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
AlbinoLeffe Clean Sheet 12%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AlbinoLeffe Union Brescia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.59 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
AlbinoLeffe vs Union Brescia
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs AlbinoLeffe
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AlbinoLeffe 30 / 100
Union Brescia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AlbinoLeffe Union Brescia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Union Brescia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AlbinoLeffe's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

AlbinoLeffe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Union Brescia has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

AlbinoLeffe VS Union Brescia
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AlbinoLeffe

(Home)
30 Oct
AlbinoLeffe
3 : 2
Pergolettese
25 Oct
Renate
0 : 0
AlbinoLeffe
18 Oct
AlbinoLeffe
2 : 2
Novara
10 Oct
Lumezzane
3 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
03 Oct
Cittadella
1 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
Page 1 of 6

Union Brescia

(Away)
01 Nov
Folgore Caratese
0 : 4
Union Brescia
28 Oct
Union Brescia
1 : 2
Cittadella
24 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 1
Cittadella
19 Oct
Giana Erminio
2 : 1
Union Brescia
09 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 0
Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 12 10 0 2 19:6 30
2 Union Brescia 12 7 4 1 23:9 25
3 Trento 12 6 6 0 17:6 24
4 Arzignano 12 6 3 3 17:12 21
5 Ospitaletto 12 5 4 3 18:11 19
6 Treviso 12 5 4 3 12:9 19
7 Alcione Milano 12 4 6 2 21:18 18
8 Lecco 12 4 5 3 18:11 17
9 AlbinoLeffe 12 4 5 3 19:17 17
10 Pergolettese 12 4 5 3 12:12 17
11 Lumezzane 12 3 4 5 13:17 13
12 Desenzano Calvina 12 3 4 5 10:14 13
13 Novara 12 3 4 5 11:16 13
14 Pro Vercelli 12 3 4 5 11:20 13
15 Carpi 12 3 3 6 16:26 12
16 Giana Erminio 12 2 5 5 13:17 11
17 Juventus U23 12 2 5 5 12:19 11
18 Dolomiti Bellunesi 12 2 4 6 8:18 10
19 Renate 12 1 5 6 14:16 8
20 Folgore Caratese 12 1 4 7 11:21 7
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)