Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Albion vs Cerro Largo

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Gonzalez Ojeda P. M.
12' Event
Lopez A.
(Penalty)
16'
Vera A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Albion and Cerro Largo finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Albion
17%
Draws
70%
Cerro Largo
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Cerro Largo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Albion's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what Cerro Largo have produced (1.13).
  • Cerro Largo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Albion Clean Sheet 22%
Cerro Largo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albion Cerro Largo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Cerro Largo
2:2
Sep 18, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Cerro Largo vs Albion
1:2
Apr 16, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Cerro Largo
2:1
Sep 4, 2018 Segunda Division
Cerro Largo vs Albion
1:1
Apr 7, 2018 Segunda Division
Albion vs Cerro Largo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albion Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Cerro Largo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pandiani A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albion 16 / 100
Cerro Largo 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albion Cerro Largo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CER Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albion found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

Cerro Largo has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Albion has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Albion VS Cerro Largo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Albion

(Home)
17 Jul
Albion
0 : 1
Juventud
10 Jul
Maldonado
1 : 1
Albion
07 Jun
Progreso
1 : 2
Albion
31 May
Albion
1 : 2
Montevideo City
23 May
Club Nacional
1 : 0
Albion
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Cerro Largo

(Away)
25 Jul
Central Esp.
0 : 1
Cerro Largo
13 Jul
Cerro Largo
1 : 1
Defensor Sp.
08 Jun
Liverpool M.
0 : 0
Cerro Largo
29 May
Cerro Largo
2 : 0
CA Cerro
23 May
Cerro Largo
3 : 0
Boston River
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing Montevideo1594223:1431
2Maldonado1592424:1629
3Albion1584326:1628
4Penarol1583423:1627
5Central Esp.1573523:2224
6Montevideo City1565422:1623
7Club Nacional1571726:2122
8Defensor Sp.1556413:1121
9Liverpool M.1555520:1820
10Wanderers1562716:2120
11Danubio1546517:2118
12Cerro Largo1552816:1917
13Boston River1552814:2017
14Juventud1543817:2215
15Progreso1524912:2310
16CA Cerro152498:2410
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)