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Albion vs Defensor Sp. Prediction & H2H Stats

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo
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Match Events

28'
Rodriguez G.
35'
Puente F.
37' Event
Toledo H.

AI Match Summary

The Liga AUF Uruguaya game between Albion and Defensor Sp. finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Albion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Albion
20%
Draws
70%
Defensor Sp.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Defensor Sp.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Albion carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Defensor Sp.'s way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Albion Clean Sheet 19%
Defensor Sp. Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albion Defensor Sp.
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 12
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.21 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Defensor Sp.
3:2
Mar 31, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Albion
1:1
Oct 1, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Defensor Sp. vs Albion
2:0
May 7, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Defensor Sp.
0:3
Sep 30, 2021 Segunda Division
Defensor Sp. vs Albion
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albion Compare

Top Goalscorer Toledo H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Figueroa T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Defensor Sp. Compare

Top Goalscorer Sorondo F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albion 24 / 100
Defensor Sp. 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albion Defensor Sp.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Defensor Sp. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albion's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensor Sp. let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Albion went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albion VS Defensor Sp.
0.75 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Albion

(Home)
28 Sept
Wanderers
2 : 1
Albion
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
16 Sept
Albion
0 : 0
River Plate Montevideo
13 Sept
Penarol
3 : 1
Albion
07 Sept
Albion
0 : 1
Progreso
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Defensor Sp.

(Away)
30 Sept
Defensor Sp.
0 : 1
Plaza Colonia
27 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0
Danubio
20 Sept
Club Nacional
3 : 2
Defensor Sp.
13 Sept
Defensor Sp.
1 : 0
Maldonado
09 Sept
Cerro Largo
1 : 1
Defensor Sp.
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 8 6 1 1 19:8 19
2 Liverpool M. 8 5 2 1 14:5 17
3 Penarol 8 5 2 1 14:6 16
4 Maldonado 8 4 2 2 10:5 14
5 Club Nacional 8 4 2 2 11:9 14
6 CA Cerro 8 4 2 2 9:9 14
7 Juventud 8 3 4 1 10:6 13
8 Racing Montevideo 8 3 3 2 9:7 12
9 Wanderers 8 3 3 2 10:11 12
10 Progreso 8 4 0 4 7:9 12
11 Boston River 8 2 2 4 10:12 8
12 Defensor Sp. 8 2 2 4 7:13 8
13 Cerro Largo 8 0 5 3 5:10 5
14 Central Esp. 8 1 2 5 5:13 5
15 Danubio 8 0 4 4 2:9 4
16 Albion 8 0 0 8 6:16 0
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)