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Albion vs Montevideo City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Albion host Montevideo City in the Liga AUF Uruguaya. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Albion at 1.29 goals for, 1.25 against; Montevideo City at 1.73 for, 1.23 against. Head-to-head, Albion have won 3 to Montevideo City's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.75) point toward Montevideo City. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Albion
30%
Draws
39%
Montevideo City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Montevideo City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Montevideo City lately — more wins on the board than Albion.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Albion Clean Sheet 12%
Montevideo City Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albion Montevideo City
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 7 3
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.29 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Montevideo City
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Montevideo City vs Albion
0:1
Sep 21, 2024 Segunda Division
Albion vs Montevideo City
2:1
Jun 5, 2024 Segunda Division
Montevideo City vs Albion
2:2
Sep 3, 2022 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Montevideo City
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albion 29 / 100
Montevideo City 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albion Montevideo City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albion Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albion's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Montevideo City conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Albion stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albion VS Montevideo City
1 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Albion

(Home)
03 Oct
Albion
3 : 2
Defensor Sp.
28 Sept
Wanderers
2 : 1
Albion
20 Sept
Albion
1 : 3
Juventud
16 Sept
Albion
0 : 0
River Plate Montevideo
13 Sept
Penarol
3 : 1
Albion
Page 1 of 6

Montevideo City

(Away)
09 Oct
Montevideo City
1 : 0
Danubio
05 Oct
Club Nacional
2 : 0
Montevideo City
30 Sept
Montevideo City
1 : 1
Penarol
27 Sept
Montevideo City
0 : 2
Maldonado
24 Sept
Montevideo City
3 : 3
Atenas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montevideo City 10 7 1 2 20:10 22
2 Liverpool M. 10 6 3 1 18:8 21
3 Penarol 9 6 2 1 15:6 19
4 Maldonado 10 5 3 2 14:6 18
5 Club Nacional 9 5 2 2 13:9 17
6 Wanderers 9 4 3 2 12:11 15
7 Juventud 9 3 5 1 10:6 14
8 CA Cerro 9 4 2 3 9:11 14
9 Racing Montevideo 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Progreso 9 4 0 5 9:12 12
11 Boston River 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
12 Defensor Sp. 9 2 2 5 9:16 8
13 Danubio 10 1 4 5 4:11 7
14 Cerro Largo 9 0 5 4 6:12 5
15 Central Esp. 9 1 2 6 5:16 5
16 Albion 9 1 0 8 9:18 3
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)