Sport Picks

Uruguay

Copa Uruguay

Albion

2 - 1

Progreso

Our Tip

Match Events

Figueroa T.

80'

Dos Santos J.

(Penalty)

90'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Albion

15%

Draws

36%

Progreso

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Albion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Albion lately — more wins on the board than Progreso.
Win probability leans Albion's way, sitting at 40%.
Albion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Albion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

Albion Clean Sheet 68%

Progreso Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Albion	Progreso
Matches Played	33	28
Wins	12	5
Draws	9	4
Losses	12	19
Goals Scored	1.3	0.71
Goals Conceded	1.09	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 3, 2026 Copa Uruguay

Albion vs Progreso

2:1

Jun 7, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Progreso vs Albion

1:2

Mar 7, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Progreso vs Albion

2:2

Nov 29, 2023 Segunda Division

Progreso vs Albion

3:2

Jul 22, 2023 Segunda Division

Albion vs Progreso

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albion Compare

Top Goalscorer Figueroa T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Progreso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albion 50 / 100

Progreso 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Albion Progreso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albion Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progreso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Albion scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Progreso lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albion VS Progreso

0.75 Goals Scored 0.38

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

50% Over 1.5 50%

38% Over 2.5 13%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Albion

(Home)

03 Sept

Albion

2 : 1

Progreso

31 Aug

Racing Montevideo

1 : 0

Albion

27 Aug

Club Nacional

0 : 0

Albion

21 Aug

Albion

2 : 3

Boston River

15 Aug

CA Cerro

2 : 1

Albion

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Progreso

(Away)

03 Sept

Albion

2 : 1

Progreso

29 Aug

Progreso

1 : 0

Danubio

26 Aug

Progreso

0 : 2

River Plate Montevideo

23 Aug

Club Nacional

1 : 0

Progreso

16 Aug

Progreso

0 : 2

Maldonado

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