Sport Picks

Albion vs Progreso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uruguay

Copa Uruguay

Albion

2 - 1

Progreso

Our Tip

Match Events

Figueroa T.

80'

Dos Santos J.

(Penalty)

90'

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Albion

20%

Draws

33%

Progreso

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Albion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Albion lately — more wins on the board than Progreso.
Win probability leans Albion's way, sitting at 40%.
Albion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Progreso, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

Albion Clean Sheet 68%

Progreso Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Albion	Progreso
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	11	9
Draws	7	1
Losses	12	19
Goals Scored	1.3	0.79
Goals Conceded	1.3	1.34
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Albion vs Progreso

0:1

Sep 3, 2026 Copa Uruguay

Albion vs Progreso

2:1

Jun 7, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Progreso vs Albion

1:2

Mar 7, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya

Progreso vs Albion

2:2

Nov 29, 2023 Segunda Division

Progreso vs Albion

3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albion Compare

Top Goalscorer Figueroa T.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Progreso Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albion 50 / 100

Progreso 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Albion Progreso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Albion Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progreso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Albion scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Albion went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Albion VS Progreso

1.25 Goals Scored 1.38

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Albion

(Home)

02 Nov

Albion

0 : 0

Maldonado

24 Oct

Central Esp.

1 : 3

Albion

18 Oct

Albion

2 : 1

Montevideo City

15 Oct

Maldonado

4 : 1

Albion

11 Oct

Cerro Largo

0 : 1

Albion

Page 1 of 6

Progreso

(Away)

01 Nov

Progreso

0 : 2

Defensor Sp.

25 Oct

Wanderers

0 : 1

Progreso

17 Oct

Progreso

2 : 0

Juventud

10 Oct

Penarol

1 : 1

Progreso

03 Oct

Liverpool M.

3 : 2

Progreso

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