Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Albion vs Progreso

Uruguay Uruguay

Liga AUF Uruguaya Estadio Luis Franzini, Montevideo
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Ocampo A.
4'
Lopez A.
21' Event
Lopez N.

AI Match Summary

Progreso in this Liga AUF Uruguaya matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progreso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Albion
15%
Draws
51%
Progreso
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progreso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Albion lately — more wins on the board than Progreso.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Albion taking it.
  • Regular Liga AUF Uruguaya form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Albion Clean Sheet 20%
Progreso Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albion Progreso
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 1.29 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.11 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Albion vs Progreso
0:1
Sep 3, 2026 Copa Uruguay
Albion vs Progreso
2:1
Jun 7, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Progreso vs Albion
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 Liga AUF Uruguaya
Progreso vs Albion
2:2
Nov 29, 2023 Segunda Division
Progreso vs Albion
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albion Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Progreso Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albion 42 / 100
Progreso 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albion Progreso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progreso let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Albion scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Progreso's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Albion VS Progreso
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Albion

(Home)
07 Sept
Albion
0 : 1
Progreso
03 Sept
Albion
2 : 1
Progreso
31 Aug
Racing Montevideo
1 : 0
Albion
27 Aug
Club Nacional
0 : 0
Albion
21 Aug
Albion
2 : 3
Boston River
Page 1 of 6

Progreso

(Away)
07 Sept
Albion
0 : 1
Progreso
03 Sept
Albion
2 : 1
Progreso
29 Aug
Progreso
1 : 0
Danubio
26 Aug
Progreso
0 : 2
River Plate Montevideo
23 Aug
Club Nacional
1 : 0
Progreso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Liverpool M. 5 4 1 0 11:1 13
2 Montevideo City 4 4 0 0 11:3 12
3 CA Cerro 5 3 1 1 5:6 10
4 Juventud 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
5 Maldonado 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
6 Racing Montevideo 5 2 2 1 5:3 8
7 Boston River 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Penarol 4 2 1 1 6:2 7
9 Club Nacional 5 2 1 2 5:6 7
10 Wanderers 5 2 1 2 6:8 7
11 Progreso 5 2 0 3 2:4 6
12 Cerro Largo 5 0 4 1 5:6 4
13 Central Esp. 5 1 1 3 3:7 4
14 Danubio 5 0 2 3 0:6 2
15 Defensor Sp. 5 0 2 3 3:10 2
16 Albion 5 0 0 5 3:8 0
Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)