Sport Picks

Japan

J2/J3 League Denka Big Swan Stadium

Albirex Niigata

1 - 0

FC Osaka

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Kitsui T.

55'

Wakatsuki Y.

Assist: Moraes M.

59'

Sub

Kitsui T. In: Shimada T.

Out: Kitsui T.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Albirex Niigata in this J2/J3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Albirex Niigata.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Albirex Niigata

39%

Draws

31%

FC Osaka

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

FC Osaka have won more games recently than Albirex Niigata.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular J2/J3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 63%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%

Albirex Niigata Clean Sheet 68%

FC Osaka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Albirex Niigata	FC Osaka
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	13	14
Draws	4	2
Losses	13	15
Goals Scored	1.13	1.38
Goals Conceded	1	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 J2/J3 League

Albirex Niigata vs FC Osaka

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 0 - 1

1:0

Mar 29, 2026 J2/J3 League

FC Osaka vs Albirex Niigata

Possession: 59% - 56% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albirex Niigata Compare

Top Goalscorer Wakatsuki Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

FC Osaka Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albirex Niigata 41 / 100

FC Osaka 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Albirex Niigata FC Osaka

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALB Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albirex Niigata scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: FC Osaka conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Albirex Niigata went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: FC Osaka has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Albirex Niigata VS FC Osaka

1.13 Goals Scored 1.38

1 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 63%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Vegalta Sendai	18	16	2	37:15	43
2	Blaublitz	18	11	7	23:16	35
3	Shonan Bellmare	18	11	7	28:20	31
4	Yokohama FC	18	10	8	36:28	29
5	SC Sagamihara	18	9	9	33:36	28
6	Thespakusatsu Gunma	18	7	11	27:39	23
7	Montedio Yamagata	18	8	10	22:25	22
8	Tochigi City	18	7	11	22:35	21
9	Vanraure	17	5	12	16:23	18
10	Tochigi SC	17	5	12	24:31	17

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Kofu	17	11	6	20:12	33
2	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	18	11	7	28:22	31
3	Iwaki	18	11	7	26:20	31
4	Omiya Ardija	18	10	8	39:29	30
5	Fujieda MYFC	18	9	9	24:23	30
6	Gifu	17	9	8	23:25	27
7	Matsumoto Yamaga	18	8	10	33:25	26
8	Iwata	18	9	9	20:25	25
9	Fukushima United	18	6	12	30:43	18
10	Nagano Parceiro	18	5	13	17:36	16

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Toyama	18	13	5	40:26	38
2	Albirex Niigata	18	12	6	24:19	35
3	Tokushima	18	11	7	38:23	32
4	Kochi United	18	10	8	25:23	30
5	Ehime	18	9	9	26:20	28
6	Kanazawa	18	10	8	20:23	27
7	Nara Club	18	7	11	27:36	21
8	FC Osaka	18	6	12	18:23	20
9	Imabari	18	6	12	15:21	20
10	Kamatamare Sanuki	18	6	12	15:34	19

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	18	15	3	35:13	47
2	Kagoshima United	18	12	6	27:16	33
3	Sagan Tosu	18	10	8	26:18	32
4	Renofa Yamaguchi	18	10	8	27:24	29
5	Kumamoto	18	9	9	21:21	27
6	Gainare Tottori	18	10	8	24:25	27
7	Oita Trinita	18	7	11	19:20	22
8	Reilac Shiga	18	7	11	16:29	21
9	Ryukyu	18	6	12	17:28	17
10	Giravanz Kitakyushu	18	4	14	17:35	15