Sport Picks
Albirex Niigata vs Kagoshima United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
Emperors Cup Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata 
Match Events
32'
32'
Takahashi A.
38'
38'
Take S.
46'
46'
Sub
Take S. In: Kawamura K.
Out: Take S.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-4. The second leg ended 0-4.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kagoshima United come out ahead of Albirex Niigata on wins alone.
- Albirex Niigata are the model's pick here, at 42%.
- Kagoshima United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Kagoshima United, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Albirex Niigata Clean Sheet 12%
Kagoshima United Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Albirex Niigata | Kagoshima United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 20 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 0.89 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 26, 2026 Emperors Cup
Albirex Niigata vs Kagoshima United
0:4
May 30, 2026 J2/J3 League
Albirex Niigata vs Kagoshima United
0:1
Oct 5, 2019 J2 League
Albirex Niigata vs Kagoshima United
6:0
Jun 29, 2019 J2 League
Kagoshima United vs Albirex Niigata
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Albirex Niigata Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Kagoshima United Compare
Top Goalscorer Take S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Toyama T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Albirex Niigata 40 / 100
Kagoshima United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Albirex Niigata Kagoshima United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.75 goals.
Albirex Niigata's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Kagoshima United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Solid form: Albirex Niigata remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Albirex Niigata VS Kagoshima United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Albirex Niigata
(Home) 03 Oct
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Tokushima
29 Sept
Matsumoto Yamaga
1 : 0 Albirex Niigata
26 Sept
Blaublitz
2 : 2 Albirex Niigata
19 Sept
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Iwata
13 Sept
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Tokushima
19 Sept
Albirex Niigata
2 : 1 Iwata
13 Sept
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0 Montedio Yamagata
26 Aug
Albirex Niigata
0 : 4 Kagoshima United
22 Aug
Albirex Niigata
1 : 0 Fujieda MYFC
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Kagoshima United
(Away) 07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kagoshima United
04 Oct
Kagoshima United
3 : 2 Fukushima United
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
19 Sept
Kagoshima United
3 : 1 Tochigi SC
13 Sept
Reilac Shiga
1 : 2 Kagoshima United
Page 1 of 6
07 Oct
Cerezo Osaka
2 : 0 Kagoshima United
26 Sept
Giravanz Kitakyushu
1 : 1 Kagoshima United
13 Sept
Reilac Shiga
1 : 2 Kagoshima United
29 Aug
Kamatamare Sanuki
3 : 4 Kagoshima United
26 Aug
Albirex Niigata
0 : 4 Kagoshima United
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Kashima Antlers -
TBD -
Atletico Suzuka 2
Basara Hyogo 1
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo -
TBD -
TBD -
Kofu -
Nagoya Grampus -
TBD -
Gainare Tottori 3
Kumamoto 2
Verdy -
TBD -
Tohoku Gakuin University 1
Thespakusatsu Gunma 3
Kawasaki Frontale -
TBD -
Tochigi SC 2
Urayasu SC 0
Iwata -
TBD -
TBD -
Tegevajaro Miyazaki -
Gamba Osaka -
TBD -
Reilac Shiga 2
Japan Soccer 1
Tokushima -
TBD -
FC Tokushima 1
Kawasoe Club 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima -
TBD -
Giravanz Kitakyushu 1
Okinawa 2
Iwaki -
TBD -
TBD -
Oita Trinita -
Okayama -
TBD -
Belugarosso Iwami 2
Nagasaki Intl University 0
Chiba -
TBD -
Arterivo Wakayama 0
Azul Claro Numazu 6
Vissel Kobe -
TBD -
Veroskronos Tsuno 3
Kamatamare Sanuki 1
Sagan Tosu -
TBD -
TBD -
Toyama -
Avispa Fukuoka -
TBD -
Verspah Oita 3
Kochi United 0
Yokohama FC -
TBD -
Ryutsu Keizai University 1
Criacao Shinjuku 2
Kashiwa Reysol -
TBD -
Senshu University 2
Tsukuba Univ. 1
Imabari -
TBD -
TBD -
Blaublitz -
Yokohama F. Marinos -
TBD -
Fukushima United 7
Oyama 0
Mito -
TBD -
Kanazawa 1
Kyoto Sangyo 4
Urawa Reds -
TBD -
Yamanashi Gakuin 1
Tokyo International University 0
Omiya Ardija -
TBD -
TBD -
Vanraure -
Cerezo Osaka -
TBD -
Gifu 3
Toyama Shinjo 1
Albirex Niigata -
TBD -
Kagoshima United 2
Renofa Yamaguchi 1
Kyoto -
TBD -
SRC Hiroshima 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 6
Montedio Yamagata -
TBD -
TBD -
Fujieda MYFC -
Shimizu S-Pulse -
TBD -
Nara Club 1
FC Osaka 4
V-Varen Nagasaki -
TBD -
Ehime 2
International Pacific Univesity 1
Machida Zelvia -
TBD -
Iwate Grulla Morioka 1
Sapporo University FC 0
Vegalta Sendai -
TBD -
TBD -
Tochigi City -
FC Tokyo -
TBD -
Nagano Parceiro 2
Fukui Utd. 1
Shonan Bellmare -
TBD -
Reinmeer Aomori 15
Akita University 0
1/32-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Atletico Suzuka 0
Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1
Kofu 3
Nagoya Grampus 1
Gainare Tottori 3
Verdy 4
Thespakusatsu Gunma 1
Kawasaki Frontale 3
Tochigi SC 1
Iwata 0
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1
Gamba Osaka 2
Reilac Shiga 0
Tokushima 3
FC Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Okinawa 1
Iwaki 2
Oita Trinita 0
Okayama 3
Belugarosso Iwami 0
Chiba 2
Azul Claro Numazu 1
Vissel Kobe 2
Veroskronos Tsuno 1
Sagan Tosu 4
Toyama 0
Avispa Fukuoka 1
Verspah Oita 0
Yokohama FC 3
Criacao Shinjuku 1
Kashiwa Reysol 2
Senshu University 1
Imabari 4
Blaublitz 1
Yokohama F. Marinos 1
Fukushima United 0
Mito 0
Kyoto Sangyo 2
Urawa Reds 3
Yamanashi Gakuin 0
Omiya Ardija 2
Vanraure 0
Cerezo Osaka 3
Gifu 1
Albirex Niigata 0
Kagoshima United 4
Kyoto 1
Maruyasu Okazaki 0
Montedio Yamagata 3
Fujieda MYFC 5
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
FC Osaka 1
V-Varen Nagasaki 3
Ehime 2
Machida Zelvia 3
Iwate Grulla Morioka 0
Vegalta Sendai 1
Tochigi City 2
FC Tokyo 6
Nagano Parceiro 0
Shonan Bellmare 1
Reinmeer Aomori 0
1/16-finals
Kashima Antlers 3
Kofu 1
Gainare Tottori 0
Verdy 1
Kawasaki Frontale 2
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0
Gamba Osaka 5
Tokushima 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4
Iwaki 0
Okayama 1
Chiba 0
Vissel Kobe 1
Sagan Tosu 0
Avispa Fukuoka 0
Yokohama FC 1
Kashiwa Reysol 4
Imabari 0
Yokohama F. Marinos 2
Kyoto Sangyo 1
Urawa Reds 3
Omiya Ardija 2
Cerezo Osaka 2
Kagoshima United 0
Kyoto 1
Fujieda MYFC 0
Shimizu S-Pulse 2
V-Varen Nagasaki 1
Machida Zelvia 2
Tochigi City 1
FC Tokyo 4
Shonan Bellmare 0
1/8-finals
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
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Final
TBD -
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