Sport Picks
Albirex Niigata vs Toyama - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Japan
J2 League Denka Big Swan Stadium, Niigata 
AI Match Summary
Albirex Niigata host Toyama in the J2 League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Albirex Niigata at 1.27 goals for, 1.43 against; Toyama at 1.93 for, 1.31 against. Past meetings favor Toyama slightly — 1-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.75) point toward Toyama. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Toyama average 1.93 goals a game right now, well clear of Albirex Niigata's 1.27.
- Toyama are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Toyama have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Albirex Niigata | Toyama |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 17 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 11 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Albirex Niigata found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 4.67 goals as a typical output.
Toyama's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Solid form: Albirex Niigata remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Albirex Niigata
(Home)Toyama
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21:9 | 27 |
| 2 | Albirex Niigata | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:20 | 23 |
| 3 | Toyama | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 23:11 | 22 |
| 4 | Yokohama FC | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Omiya Ardija | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 21:14 | 20 |
| 6 | Shonan Bellmare | 12 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 13:11 | 19 |
| 7 | Oita Trinita | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:9 | 18 |
| 8 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | 17 |
| 9 | Iwaki | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19:18 | 16 |
| 10 | Fujieda MYFC | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:13 | 15 |
| 11 | Iwata | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:14 | 15 |
| 12 | Sagan Tosu | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 12:15 | 14 |
| 13 | Tokushima | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:13 | 14 |
| 14 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15:19 | 14 |
| 15 | Vanraure | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:20 | 14 |
| 16 | Montedio Yamagata | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11:11 | 13 |
| 17 | Blaublitz | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 18 | Tochigi City | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:20 | 12 |
| 19 | Imabari | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:25 | 11 |
| 20 | Kofu | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9:26 | 10 |
