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Albirex Niigata W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Takikawa Y.
54' Event
Ito M.
90' Event
Shimada H.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Albirex Niigata W
15%
Draws
51%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sanfrecce Hiroshima W lately — more wins on the board than Albirex Niigata W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sanfrecce Hiroshima W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Albirex Niigata W Clean Sheet 16%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Albirex Niigata W Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 21
Draws 4 2
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.41 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.31 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
1:3
Apr 5, 2026 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 WE League Women
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W vs Albirex Niigata W
0:1
May 17, 2025 WE League Women
Albirex Niigata W vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
2:2
Oct 14, 2024 WE League Women
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W vs Albirex Niigata W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Albirex Niigata W Compare

Top Goalscorer Takikawa Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ito M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shimada H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Albirex Niigata W 36 / 100
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Albirex Niigata W Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanfrecce Hiroshima W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Albirex Niigata W scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima W let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Albirex Niigata W has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Albirex Niigata W VS Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Albirex Niigata W

(Home)
04 Oct
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 2
C-Osaka W
27 Sept
Albirex Niigata W
2 : 1
Urawa W
23 Sept
Beleza W
1 : 3
Albirex Niigata W
19 Sept
Mynavi Sendai W
1 : 0
Albirex Niigata W
12 Sept
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
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Sanfrecce Hiroshima W

(Away)
03 Oct
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
3 : 0
AC Parceiro Nagano W
27 Sept
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
0 : 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
23 Sept
C-Osaka W
3 : 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
19 Sept
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
0 : 1
JEF United W
12 Sept
Albirex Niigata W
1 : 3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 JEF United W 6 5 0 1 13:8 14
2 Beleza W 6 4 0 2 14:11 12
3 Omiya Ardija W 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
4 Nojima Stella W 6 3 0 3 9:8 11
5 Saitama W 5 4 0 1 9:6 10
6 Urawa W 6 3 0 3 12:10 10
7 Sanfrecce Hiroshima W 6 3 0 3 10:8 9
8 C-Osaka W 6 3 0 3 11:11 9
9 Mynavi Sendai W 6 2 0 4 5:8 8
10 Albirex Niigata W 5 2 0 3 7:8 5
11 Inac Kobe Leonesa W 6 2 0 4 8:12 4
12 AC Parceiro Nagano W 6 0 0 6 1:12 1
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - WE League Cup Women (Play Offs)