Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcains vs GD Peniche

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025
Alcains Logo

Alcains

0 - 2
FT
GD Peniche Logo

GD Peniche

Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Diop A.
34' Event
Fabio Erins
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2024/2025 game between Alcains and GD Peniche finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward GD Peniche.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Alcains
15%
Draws
42%
GD Peniche
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alcains

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • GD Peniche carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Alcains taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Alcains Clean Sheet 20%
GD Peniche Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcains GD Peniche
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.77 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alcains vs GD Peniche
0:2
Nov 10, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Peniche vs Alcains
2:0
Mar 31, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alcains vs GD Peniche
1:0
Nov 11, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GD Peniche vs Alcains
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcains Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

GD Peniche Compare

Top Goalscorer Diop A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcains 36 / 100
GD Peniche 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcains GD Peniche

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GD Peniche has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

GD Peniche's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Alcains scored in 40% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 1.25 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Alcains VS GD Peniche
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcains

(Home)
20 Sept
Alcains
0 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
30 Aug
Alcains
1 : 0
Sertanense
13 Apr
Alcains
0 : 2
Alverca B
06 Apr
Sertanense
3 : 1
Alcains
29 Mar
Alcains
0 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
Page 1 of 6

GD Peniche

(Away)
18 Apr
GD Peniche
5 : 1
SC Lusitania
12 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
3 : 1
GD Peniche
04 Apr
GD Peniche
0 : 2
SB Castelo Branco
29 Mar
Samora Correia
5 : 2
GD Peniche
22 Mar
Electrico FC
4 : 2
GD Peniche
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Elvas CAD 26 20 5 1 41:10 65
2 Fatima 26 14 7 5 30:12 49
3 Arronches Benfica 26 13 9 4 27:17 48
4 GD Peniche 26 10 9 7 31:23 39
5 Os Marialvas 26 9 10 7 30:28 37
6 Mortagua FC 26 8 13 5 23:21 37
7 Marinhense 26 9 9 8 24:21 36
8 Alverca B 26 9 8 9 28:25 35
9 SB Castelo Branco 26 8 10 8 23:21 34
10 SC Pombal 26 8 8 10 29:34 32
11 Uniao de Coimbra 26 6 7 13 26:44 25
12 Sertanense 26 4 9 13 23:33 21
13 Alcains 26 4 6 16 17:36 18
14 Pero Pinheiro 26 2 6 18 12:39 12
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)