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Alcains vs Rio Maior SC Prediction & H2H Stats

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023
Sun, Feb 12, 2023
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcains host Rio Maior SC in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023. Alcains go into this one as the clear favorite. Rio Maior SC have shipped 2 goals a game lately, while Alcains have conceded 1.5 and scored 0.81. Past meetings favor Alcains slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 12, 2023, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.04 - 1.19) back Alcains to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Alcains
15%
Draws
21%
Rio Maior SC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alcains

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Alcains have won more games recently than Rio Maior SC.
  • Win probability leans Rio Maior SC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
Alcains Clean Sheet 20%
Rio Maior SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcains Rio Maior SC
Matches Played 36 17
Wins 8 1
Draws 6 3
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.81 0.59
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Alcains vs Rio Maior SC
0:0
Oct 29, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Rio Maior SC vs Alcains
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcains 20 / 100
Rio Maior SC 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcains Rio Maior SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rio Maior SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rio Maior SC has conceded goals in 94% of their last 17 outings.

Rio Maior SC's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Alcains scored in 42% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Alcains VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcains

(Home)
20 Sept
Alcains
0 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
30 Aug
Alcains
1 : 0
Sertanense
13 Apr
Alcains
0 : 2
Alverca B
06 Apr
Sertanense
3 : 1
Alcains
29 Mar
Alcains
0 : 1
Uniao de Coimbra
Page 1 of 8

Rio Maior SC

(Away)
29 Jan
Pero Pinheiro
3 : 0
Rio Maior SC
22 Jan
Rio Maior SC
2 : 3
GD Coruchense
15 Jan
Sintrense
4 : 0
Rio Maior SC
08 Jan
Santarem
5 : 1
Rio Maior SC
17 Dec
Rio Maior SC
1 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º Dezembro 25 15 5 5 37:19 50
2 Pero Pinheiro 25 15 7 4 34:24 49
3 Santarem 25 13 9 3 40:14 48
4 Marinhense 25 12 6 7 31:24 42
5 SB Castelo Branco 25 10 10 5 33:27 40
6 Mortagua FC 25 9 9 7 41:38 36
7 Sertanense 25 9 9 7 30:25 36
8 Sintrense 25 10 9 7 34:25 36
9 GD Coruchense 25 8 9 9 30:28 30
10 Uniao Da Serra 25 9 3 13 31:40 30
11 GS Loures 25 6 7 12 26:41 25
12 Arronches Benfica 25 5 4 16 15:39 19
13 Alcains 25 4 2 19 23:47 14
14 Rio Maior SC 0 1 0 12 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)