Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025

Aguilas FC B

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alcantarilla play Aguilas FC B in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2024/2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Alcantarilla averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. Aguilas FC B averaged 1.47 goals scored and 1.28 conceded. In past meetings, Alcantarilla won 1, Aguilas FC B won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 4, 2025 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.35 for Alcantarilla and 1.05 for Aguilas FC B. This points to a Aguilas FC B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Alcantarilla

24%

Draws

48%

Aguilas FC B

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Aguilas FC B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Alcantarilla picked up more points recently compared to Aguilas FC B.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.35 vs 1.05 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%

Alcantarilla Clean Sheet 22%

Aguilas FC B Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Alcantarilla	Aguilas FC B
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	6	13
Draws	7	8
Losses	17	11
Goals Scored	0.67	1.47
Goals Conceded	1.93	1.28

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Alcantarilla vs Aguilas FC B

Possession: 42% - 48% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13

Aguilas FC B vs Alcantarilla

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 0 - 2

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcantarilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Aguilas FC B Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndiaye M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcantarilla 30 / 100

Aguilas FC B 45 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Alcantarilla Aguilas FC B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aguilas FC B or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +40%

5.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Alcantarilla attacking → ← attacking Aguilas FC B

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcantarilla scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Aguilas FC B let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Alcantarilla went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Aguilas FC B lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 47

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lorca Deportiva	34	24	6	4	62:22	78
2	Ciudad Cieza	34	21	7	6	73:26	70
3	Molinense	34	18	13	3	54:24	67
4	Santomera	34	18	8	8	66:42	62
5	Aguilas FC B	34	18	8	8	52:23	62
6	CA Pulpileno	34	15	10	9	35:23	55
7	UCAM Murcia B	34	14	9	11	45:35	51
8	Real Murcia B	34	13	10	11	44:31	49
9	E.G. El Palmar	34	12	10	12	48:45	46
10	Bala Azul	34	10	14	10	34:27	44
11	Caravaca	34	11	10	13	35:41	43
12	Deportivo Maritimo	34	10	7	17	38:57	37
13	Muleno CF	34	9	10	15	29:49	37
14	FC Cartagena SAD B	34	9	9	16	27:43	36
15	Minerva	34	8	10	16	33:45	34
16	Bullense	34	7	9	18	29:58	30
17	Alcantarilla	34	7	7	20	21:65	28
18	Plus Ultra	34	2	3	29	23:92	9