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Alcantarilla vs Cotillas CD - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
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Match Events

15' Event
Minguela M.
43' Event
Hernandez J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 game between Alcantarilla and Cotillas CD finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcantarilla.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Alcantarilla
35%
Draws
28%
Cotillas CD
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcantarilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Cotillas CD haven't matched Alcantarilla's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Alcantarilla taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Alcantarilla Clean Sheet 20%
Cotillas CD Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcantarilla Cotillas CD
Matches Played 29 5
Wins 8 2
Draws 9 1
Losses 12 2
Goals Scored 0.79 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Cotillas CD
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcantarilla Compare

Top Goalscorer Minguela M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hernandez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Cotillas CD Compare

Avg xG / game 1.05
Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcantarilla 42 / 100
Cotillas CD 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcantarilla Cotillas CD

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cotillas CD conceded in 100% of 5 recent games.

Solid form: Alcantarilla remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Alcantarilla scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Alcantarilla VS Cotillas CD
0.75 Goals Scored 1.17
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.33
50% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcantarilla

(Home)
04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0
Cotillas CD
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 6

Cotillas CD

(Away)
04 Oct
Cotillas CD
2 : 1
Bala Azul
27 Sept
Cotillas CD
1 : 2
CA Pulpileno
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0
Cotillas CD
13 Sept
Cotillas CD
2 : 2
Aguilas FC B
06 Sept
Mazarron FC
1 : 2
Cotillas CD

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 5 4 1 0 11:6 13
2 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
3 Alcantarilla 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
4 Molinense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
5 CA Pulpileno 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
6 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Cotillas CD 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
9 Santa Cruz 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
10 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
11 Bullas Deportivo 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
13 Bala Azul 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 FC Cartagena SAD B 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
16 Deportivo Maritimo 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
17 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)