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Alcantarilla vs Minerva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcantarilla host Minerva in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. This one's hard to separate. Alcantarilla have averaged 0.87 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Minerva's 0.84 scored and 1.1 conceded. Head-to-head, Alcantarilla have won 1 to Minerva's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 9, 2025, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.04 vs 0.65, favoring Minerva. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Alcantarilla
35%
Draws
31%
Minerva
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Minerva have won more games recently than Alcantarilla.
  • Model gives Alcantarilla a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Alcantarilla Clean Sheet 20%
Minerva Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcantarilla Minerva
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.87 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Minerva vs Alcantarilla
0:1
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Minerva
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcantarilla 49 / 100
Minerva 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcantarilla Minerva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcantarilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcantarilla went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Alcantarilla's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Minerva conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Alcantarilla VS Minerva
0.71 Goals Scored 1
0.29 Goals Conceded 1.38
43% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcantarilla

(Home)
04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0
Cotillas CD
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 6

Minerva

(Away)
04 Oct
Mazarron FC
0 : 1
Minerva
27 Sept
Minerva
1 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
20 Sept
San Javier
1 : 0
Minerva
13 Sept
Minerva
0 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 Sept
Deportivo Maritimo
0 : 1
Minerva
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 6 5 1 0 14:6 16
2 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
3 Alcantarilla 5 2 3 0 5:2 9
4 Molinense 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
5 CA Pulpileno 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
6 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
7 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
8 Cotillas CD 5 2 1 2 7:8 7
9 Santa Cruz 5 1 3 1 8:8 6
10 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
11 Bullas Deportivo 4 1 2 1 5:3 5
12 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
13 Bala Azul 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
14 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
15 FC Cartagena SAD B 5 1 2 2 6:8 5
16 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
17 Deportivo Maritimo 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)