Sport Picks
Alcantarilla vs Racing Murcia Prediction & H2H Stats
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 
Match Events
41'
41'
Bianco L.
AI Match Summary
Racing Murcia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Racing Murcia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
80%
20%
0%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcantarilla
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Racing Murcia haven't matched Alcantarilla's recent run of results.
- Alcantarilla are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Racing Murcia here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Alcantarilla Clean Sheet 68%
Racing Murcia Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alcantarilla | Racing Murcia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 37 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 0.92 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Racing Murcia
0:1
Oct 22, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Alcantarilla
1:5
Mar 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs Racing Murcia
0:2
Nov 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Racing Murcia vs Alcantarilla
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alcantarilla Compare
Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4
Racing Murcia Compare
Top Goalscorer Bianco L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alcantarilla 95 / 100
Racing Murcia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alcantarilla Racing Murcia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alcantarilla Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Racing Murcia's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.
Racing Murcia let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Alcantarilla has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Alcantarilla VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Alcantarilla
(Home) 27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1 Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0 Cotillas CD
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0 CA Pulpileno
06 Sept
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1 Alcantarilla
11 May
CA Pulpileno
4 : 0 Alcantarilla
Page 1 of 8
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0 Cotillas CD
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0 CA Pulpileno
04 May
Alcantarilla
2 : 1 Aguilas FC B
20 Apr
Alcantarilla
1 : 4 Santomera
06 Apr
Alcantarilla
1 : 0 Real Murcia B
Page 1 of 4
Racing Murcia
(Away) 11 May
Balsicas Atletico
2 : 1 Racing Murcia
04 May
Racing Murcia
0 : 3 Muleno CF
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1 Racing Murcia
27 Apr
Racing Murcia
2 : 4 Molinense
21 Apr
Caravaca
5 : 1 Racing Murcia
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Balsicas Atletico
2 : 1 Racing Murcia
01 May
Ciudad de Murcia
3 : 1 Racing Murcia
21 Apr
Caravaca
5 : 1 Racing Murcia
07 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
2 : 0 Racing Murcia
23 Mar
Plus Ultra
1 : 3 Racing Murcia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 53:19 | 78 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 44:24 | 68 |
| 4 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 42:24 | 62 |
| 5 | Caravaca | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 60:32 | 61 |
| 6 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 64:30 | 59 |
| 7 | Molinense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 60:34 | 59 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 39:23 | 52 |
| 9 | Muleno CF | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:42 | 43 |
| 10 | Racing Murcia | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36:51 | 40 |
| 11 | Plus Ultra | 34 | 12 | 2 | 20 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 12 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:52 | 36 |
| 13 | Bullense | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 40:65 | 36 |
| 14 | Balsicas Atletico | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 35:53 | 36 |
| 15 | Alcantarilla | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 34:41 | 36 |
| 16 | Ciudad de Murcia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 28:43 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Algar | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:65 | 29 |
| 18 | Montecasillas | 34 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 31:90 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
