Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcione Milano vs Lumezzane - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A Stadio Ferruccio, Seregno
Fri, Nov 6, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcione Milano host Lumezzane in the Serie C - Group A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Alcione Milano at 1.07 goals for, 1.23 against; Lumezzane at 1.14 for, 1.07 against. Past meetings favor Alcione Milano slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 3, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.50) point toward Alcione Milano. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Alcione Milano
35%
Draws
25%
Lumezzane
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcione Milano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lumezzane come out ahead of Alcione Milano on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Alcione Milano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 16%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcione Milano Lumezzane
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 14 11
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1.07 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Alcione Milano
0:0
Jan 17, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Alcione Milano
1:0
Sep 6, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Lumezzane
1:0
Mar 9, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Alcione Milano
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Lumezzane
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcione Milano 75 / 100
Lumezzane 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcione Milano Lumezzane

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcione Milano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcione Milano's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Lumezzane has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Alcione Milano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Alcione Milano VS Lumezzane
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcione Milano

(Home)
31 Oct
Giana Erminio
1 : 3
Alcione Milano
24 Oct
Alcione Milano
1 : 2
Carpi
18 Oct
Alcione Milano
4 : 1
Desenzano Calvina
11 Oct
Lecco
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2
Trento
Page 1 of 6

Lumezzane

(Away)
01 Nov
Lumezzane
1 : 1
Arzignano
25 Oct
Pergolettese
2 : 1
Lumezzane
17 Oct
Carpi
3 : 1
Lumezzane
13 Oct
Juventus U23
0 : 0
Lumezzane
10 Oct
Lumezzane
3 : 2
AlbinoLeffe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cittadella 12 10 0 2 19:6 30
2 Union Brescia 12 7 4 1 23:9 25
3 Trento 12 6 6 0 17:6 24
4 Arzignano 12 6 3 3 17:12 21
5 Ospitaletto 12 5 4 3 18:11 19
6 Treviso 12 5 4 3 12:9 19
7 Alcione Milano 12 4 6 2 21:18 18
8 Lecco 12 4 5 3 18:11 17
9 AlbinoLeffe 12 4 5 3 19:17 17
10 Pergolettese 12 4 5 3 12:12 17
11 Lumezzane 12 3 4 5 13:17 13
12 Desenzano Calvina 12 3 4 5 10:14 13
13 Novara 12 3 4 5 11:16 13
14 Pro Vercelli 12 3 4 5 11:20 13
15 Carpi 12 3 3 6 16:26 12
16 Giana Erminio 12 2 5 5 13:17 11
17 Juventus U23 12 2 5 5 12:19 11
18 Dolomiti Bellunesi 12 2 4 6 8:18 10
19 Renate 12 1 5 6 14:16 8
20 Folgore Caratese 12 1 4 7 11:21 7
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)