Sport Picks
Alcione Milano vs Union Brescia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni 
Match Events
3'
3'
Galli G.
Own Goal
10'
10'
Crespi V.
Assist: De Maria V.
20'
20'
Sina S.
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A game between Alcione Milano and Union Brescia finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Union Brescia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
35%
39%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Union Brescia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Union Brescia carry the better recent record into this one.
- 39% — that's where the model lands on Union Brescia taking it.
- Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Alcione Milano Clean Sheet 12%
Union Brescia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alcione Milano | Union Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 7 | 14 |
| Draws | 13 | 13 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Union Brescia
0:4
Mar 13, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Alcione Milano vs Union Brescia
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Union Brescia vs Alcione Milano
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alcione Milano Compare
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53
Union Brescia Compare
Top Goalscorer Crespi V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rizzo Pinna A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alcione Milano 11 / 100
Union Brescia 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alcione Milano Union Brescia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Brescia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.
Alcione Milano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Alcione Milano scored in 55% of their last 29 games.
Union Brescia let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
Alcione Milano VS Union Brescia
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Alcione Milano
(Home) 04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2 Trento
27 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 1 Alcione Milano
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
17 Sept
Pro Vercelli
2 : 2 Alcione Milano
13 Sept
Folgore Caratese
2 : 3 Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Alcione Milano
2 : 2 Trento
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
07 Sept
Alcione Milano
1 : 1 Treviso
21 Aug
Alcione Milano
3 : 1 Renate
16 Aug
Alcione Milano
0 : 1 Novara
Page 1 of 3
Union Brescia
(Away) 09 Oct
Union Brescia
2 : 0 Pro Vercelli
04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2 Union Brescia
27 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Dolomiti Bellunesi
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
17 Sept
Union Brescia
2 : 2 Treviso
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Lecco
2 : 2 Union Brescia
20 Sept
Alcione Milano
0 : 4 Union Brescia
13 Sept
Trento
0 : 0 Union Brescia
30 Aug
Pergolettese
0 : 1 Union Brescia
09 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 0 Union Brescia
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 16:6 | 19 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Trento | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 7 | AlbinoLeffe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Desenzano Calvina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Novara | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | 9 |
| 13 | Lecco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Pergolettese | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3:5 | 8 |
| 16 | Carpi | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 6 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
