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Alcobaca vs Amora

Portugal Portugal

Primeira Liga 1982/1983
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Primeira Liga 1982/1983 game between Alcobaca and Amora finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcobaca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Alcobaca
20%
Draws
51%
Amora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Amora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Amora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Amora a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Alcobaca Clean Sheet 20%
Amora Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcobaca Amora
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 3 7
Losses 23 15
Goals Scored 0.67 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 1983 Liga Portugal
Alcobaca vs Amora
2:1
Aug 29, 1982 Liga Portugal
Amora vs Alcobaca
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcobaca 12 / 100
Amora 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcobaca Amora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amora Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amora's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Alcobaca's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Alcobaca stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Amora
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcobaca

(Home)
14 May
Alcobaca
0 : 3
SC Lusitania
07 May
Sertanense
3 : 0
Alcobaca
30 Apr
Alcobaca
2 : 2
Sporting Ideal
23 Apr
Alcobaca
3 : 0
Gafetense
15 Apr
SC Angrense
4 : 0
Alcobaca
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Amora

(Away)
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
01 May
Covilha
1 : 1
Amora
25 Apr
Amora
1 : 2
Lusitano GC
19 Apr
1º Dezembro
0 : 1
Amora
12 Apr
Amora
1 : 2
Caldas SC
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