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Alcobaca vs Varzim

Portugal Portugal

Primeira Liga 1982/1983
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AI Match Summary

The Primeira Liga 1982/1983 game between Alcobaca and Varzim finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varzim.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Alcobaca
20%
Draws
61%
Varzim
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Varzim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Alcobaca haven't matched Varzim's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Varzim a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Alcobaca Clean Sheet 20%
Varzim Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcobaca Varzim
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 4 13
Draws 3 4
Losses 23 11
Goals Scored 0.67 1.32
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 1983 Liga Portugal
Alcobaca vs Varzim
0:2
Sep 5, 1982 Liga Portugal
Varzim vs Alcobaca
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcobaca 10 / 100
Varzim 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcobaca Varzim

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varzim Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Varzim let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Alcobaca scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Alcobaca went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Varzim
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcobaca

(Home)
14 May
Alcobaca
0 : 3
SC Lusitania
07 May
Sertanense
3 : 0
Alcobaca
30 Apr
Alcobaca
2 : 2
Sporting Ideal
23 Apr
Alcobaca
3 : 0
Gafetense
15 Apr
SC Angrense
4 : 0
Alcobaca
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Varzim

(Away)
29 Aug
Varzim
5 : 1
Trofense
22 Aug
Pacos Ferreira
1 : 4
Varzim
16 Aug
Varzim
2 : 1
AD Marco 09
09 Aug
Trofense
0 : 1
Varzim
02 Aug
Varzim
1 : 1
Vitoria Guimaraes
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