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Alcobendas vs AD Torrejon Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020 game between Alcobendas and AD Torrejon finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Alcobendas
20%
Draws
28%
AD Torrejon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcobendas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Alcobendas haven't matched AD Torrejon's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Alcobendas taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Alcobendas Clean Sheet 16%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcobendas AD Torrejon
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.55 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs AD Torrejon
1:1
Sep 29, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Alcobendas
0:0
May 17, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Alcobendas
0:2
Jan 11, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs AD Torrejon
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcobendas 36 / 100
AD Torrejon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcobendas AD Torrejon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcobendas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Alcobendas found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (20 games).

AD Torrejon has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS AD Torrejon
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcobendas

(Home)
08 Mar
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcobendas
29 Feb
Alcobendas
5 : 0
RSD Alcala
23 Feb
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 1
Alcobendas
16 Feb
Alcobendas
1 : 1
AD Torrejon
09 Feb
El Alamo
1 : 2
Alcobendas
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AD Torrejon

(Away)
04 Oct
AD Torrejon
4 : 0
Union Adarve
27 Sept
AD Torrejon
0 : 1
CD Mostoles
19 Sept
CF Fuenlabrada
3 : 1
AD Torrejon
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Navalcarnero 28 16 5 7 44:22 53
2 Union Adarve 28 14 5 9 43:35 47
3 Alcorcon B 28 12 11 5 40:26 47
4 RSD Alcala 28 13 6 9 41:32 45
5 Trival Valderas 28 12 7 9 30:27 43
6 Leganes B 28 11 9 8 49:41 42
7 CD Mostoles 28 12 6 10 42:36 42
8 Pozuelo de Alarcon 28 11 7 10 36:38 40
9 Rayo Vallecano B 28 10 9 9 47:44 39
10 Flat Earth FC 28 11 9 8 36:34 39
11 Santa Ana 28 11 5 12 42:46 38
12 Carabanchel 28 9 9 10 32:32 36
13 Atletico Pinto 28 8 11 9 40:38 35
14 AD Torrejon 28 9 8 11 27:32 35
15 El Alamo 28 9 7 12 36:42 34
16 Moratalaz 28 8 10 10 29:37 34
17 San Fernando de Henares 28 8 9 11 38:42 33
18 Alcobendas 28 8 9 11 35:38 33
19 Parla 28 4 10 14 30:50 22
20 Villaverde San Andres 28 3 10 15 16:41 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)