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Alcobendas vs Leganes B

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020
Alcobendas Logo

Alcobendas

Sun, Apr 5, 2020
VS
04:00 PM
Leganes B Logo

Leganes B

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Alcobendas host Leganes B in the Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020. This one's hard to separate. Alcobendas have averaged 1.55 scored and 1.6 conceded recently, against Leganes B's 1.63 scored and 1.33 conceded. Head-to-head, Alcobendas have won 2 to Leganes B's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 5, 2020, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.35 vs 1.49, favoring Alcobendas. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Alcobendas
20%
Draws
28%
Leganes B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcobendas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Leganes B lately — more wins on the board than Alcobendas.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 7 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Alcobendas Clean Sheet 16%
Leganes B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcobendas Leganes B
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.55 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Leganes B
0:0
Nov 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Alcobendas
2:3
Apr 7, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Leganes B vs Alcobendas
3:1
Nov 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Leganes B
2:0
May 2, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcobendas vs Leganes B
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcobendas 31 / 100
Leganes B 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcobendas Leganes B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcobendas went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Alcobendas's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Leganes B has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

- VS Leganes B
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcobendas

(Home)
08 Mar
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcobendas
29 Feb
Alcobendas
5 : 0
RSD Alcala
23 Feb
Villaverde San Andres
0 : 1
Alcobendas
16 Feb
Alcobendas
1 : 1
AD Torrejon
09 Feb
El Alamo
1 : 2
Alcobendas
Page 1 of 4

Leganes B

(Away)
26 Sept
Cala Pozuelo
1 : 0
Leganes B
19 Sept
Leganes B
4 : 1
Rayo Vallecano B
13 Sept
CD Las Rozas
3 : 2
Leganes B
06 Sept
Leganes B
2 : 0
Real Aranjuez
26 Aug
Gimnastica Segoviana
2 : 1
Leganes B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Navalcarnero 28 16 5 7 44:22 53
2 Union Adarve 28 14 5 9 43:35 47
3 Alcorcon B 28 12 11 5 40:26 47
4 RSD Alcala 28 13 6 9 41:32 45
5 Trival Valderas 28 12 7 9 30:27 43
6 Leganes B 28 11 9 8 49:41 42
7 CD Mostoles 28 12 6 10 42:36 42
8 Pozuelo de Alarcon 28 11 7 10 36:38 40
9 Rayo Vallecano B 28 10 9 9 47:44 39
10 Flat Earth FC 28 11 9 8 36:34 39
11 Santa Ana 28 11 5 12 42:46 38
12 Carabanchel 28 9 9 10 32:32 36
13 Atletico Pinto 28 8 11 9 40:38 35
14 AD Torrejon 28 9 8 11 27:32 35
15 El Alamo 28 9 7 12 36:42 34
16 Moratalaz 28 8 10 10 29:37 34
17 San Fernando de Henares 28 8 9 11 38:42 33
18 Alcobendas 28 8 9 11 35:38 33
19 Parla 28 4 10 14 30:50 22
20 Villaverde San Andres 28 3 10 15 16:41 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2019/2020 (Promotion - Play Offs)