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Alcorcon B vs AD Torrejon

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Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Alcorcon B Logo

Alcorcon B

0 - 1
FT
AD Torrejon Logo

AD Torrejon

Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Gutierrez G.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 game between Alcorcon B and AD Torrejon finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AD Torrejon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Alcorcon B
20%
Draws
34%
AD Torrejon
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcorcon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Torrejon carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Alcorcon B taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 80.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 68%
AD Torrejon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcorcon B AD Torrejon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.17 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.37
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs AD Torrejon
0:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Alcorcon B
1:0
May 4, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs AD Torrejon
3:1
Dec 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Alcorcon B
2:2
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
AD Torrejon vs Alcorcon B
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcorcon B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

AD Torrejon Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcorcon B 95 / 100
AD Torrejon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcorcon B AD Torrejon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcorcon B scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: AD Torrejon conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Alcorcon B went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alcorcon B VS AD Torrejon
1.86 Goals Scored 1.88
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.25
86% Over 1.5 75%
43% Over 2.5 50%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcorcon B

(Home)
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
Page 1 of 6

AD Torrejon

(Away)
13 Sept
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Mexico
06 Sept
Colonia Moscardo
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
28 Aug
Getafe B
0 : 2
AD Torrejon
24 May
AD Torrejon
0 : 3
CD Las Rozas
17 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 0
AD Torrejon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)