Sport Picks

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Alcorcon B vs Parla

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Kone S.
30' Event
Pastor V.
40' Event
Guzman M.

AI Match Summary

Alcorcon B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcorcon B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Alcorcon B
30%
Draws
8%
Parla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcorcon B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alcorcon B lately — more wins on the board than Parla.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Alcorcon B taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 68%
Parla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcorcon B Parla
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 1.17 0.87
Goals Conceded 0.93 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Alcorcon B
0:4
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Parla
4:1
Feb 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Parla
3:3
Sep 29, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Alcorcon B
1:6
May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Parla vs Alcorcon B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcorcon B Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pastor V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Parla Compare

Top Goalscorer Guzman M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcorcon B 95 / 100
Parla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcorcon B Parla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Parla conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Alcorcon B scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Alcorcon B stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Alcorcon B VS Parla
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcorcon B

(Home)
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
Page 1 of 6

Parla

(Away)
10 May
AD Torrejon
1 : 0
Parla
03 May
Parla
0 : 5
Galapagar
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
18 Apr
Mexico
2 : 2
Parla
12 Apr
Parla
3 : 4
Tres Cantos
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)