Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcorcon B vs Trival Valderas

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Sacristan Belinchon M. A.
83'
Hernandez M.
89'
Cornelie N.

AI Match Summary

Trival Valderas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trival Valderas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Alcorcon B
35%
Draws
32%
Trival Valderas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Trival Valderas have won more games recently than Alcorcon B.
  • Model gives Alcorcon B a 33% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Alcorcon B Clean Sheet 68%
Trival Valderas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcorcon B Trival Valderas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 17
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.17 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Alcorcon B
2:2
Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Trival Valderas
0:1
Mar 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Trival Valderas vs Alcorcon B
0:1
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Trival Valderas
1:2
Feb 10, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 7
Alcorcon B vs Trival Valderas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcorcon B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Trival Valderas Compare

Top Goalscorer Sacristan Belinchon M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcorcon B 68 / 100
Trival Valderas 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcorcon B Trival Valderas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcorcon B found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Solid form: Alcorcon B remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Trival Valderas let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Alcorcon B VS Trival Valderas
2 Goals Scored 1.75
0.83 Goals Conceded 0.63
83% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcorcon B

(Home)
10 May
Trival Valderas
2 : 2
Alcorcon B
03 May
Alcorcon B
0 : 1
AD Torrejon
26 Apr
Parla
0 : 4
Alcorcon B
19 Apr
Galapagar
0 : 2
Alcorcon B
11 Apr
Alcorcon B
1 : 1
Mexico
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Trival Valderas

(Away)
06 Sept
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
Siello
20 Jun
La Nucia
1 : 0
Trival Valderas
14 Jun
Trival Valderas
0 : 0
La Nucia
07 Jun
Trival Valderas
3 : 1
CD Las Rozas
31 May
CD Las Rozas
1 : 1
Trival Valderas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Madrid C 34 18 10 6 83:46 64
2 Trival Valderas 34 18 6 10 50:36 60
3 AD Torrejon 34 17 9 8 57:46 60
4 CD Las Rozas 34 16 8 10 58:42 56
5 Leganes B 34 15 9 10 63:33 54
6 Union Adarve 34 15 8 11 48:42 53
7 CD Mostoles 34 14 9 11 51:45 51
8 San Sebastian Reyes B 34 12 13 9 45:35 49
9 Pozuelo de Alarcon 34 12 12 10 40:33 48
10 Galapagar 34 11 13 10 42:47 46
11 Mexico 34 12 9 13 45:49 45
12 Siello 34 13 5 16 39:45 44
13 Alcorcon B 34 11 11 12 37:34 44
14 Villaverde San Andres 34 10 13 11 32:44 43
15 Carabanchel 34 9 11 14 30:36 38
16 Tres Cantos 34 10 3 21 40:65 33
17 Parla 34 7 6 21 29:66 27
18 Ciudad de Madrid 34 5 7 22 31:76 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 7 2025/2026 (Play Offs)