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Alcorcon vs Cacereno

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Aguado T.
40' Event
Marchena A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Alcorcon and Cacereno finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Alcorcon
35%
Draws
50%
Cacereno
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cacereno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Alcorcon haven't matched Cacereno's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cacereno's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 21%
Cacereno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcorcon Cacereno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 14 9
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.28 1.31
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2025 Club Friendly
Alcorcon vs Cacereno
1:1
Dec 17, 2019 Copa del Rey
Cacereno vs Alcorcon
1:0
Mar 28, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs Cacereno
2:1
Nov 8, 2009 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Cacereno vs Alcorcon
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcorcon Compare

Top Goalscorer Aguado T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Cacereno Compare

Top Goalscorer Marchena A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcorcon 29 / 100
Cacereno 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcorcon Cacereno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cacereno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcorcon found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Alcorcon stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Cacereno has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alcorcon VS Cacereno
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcorcon

(Home)
12 Sept
Antequera
1 : 1
Alcorcon
06 Sept
Alcorcon
0 : 0
CE Europa
30 Aug
Aguilas FC
2 : 2
Alcorcon
18 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 : 0
Alcorcon
14 Aug
AD Merida
2 : 1
Alcorcon
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Cacereno

(Away)
16 Sept
Recreativo Huelva
2 : 1
Cacereno
13 Sept
Cacereno
1 : 0
Leonesa
09 Sept
Cacereno
2 : 0
UD San Pedro
06 Sept
Deportivo Fabril
1 : 1
Cacereno
28 Aug
Cacereno
1 : 0
Mirandes
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