Sport Picks
Match Events
43'
43'
Vacas L.
46'
46'
Sub
Retuerta A. In: Espinosa N.
Out: Retuerta A.
49'
49'
Aparicio E.
AI Match Summary
Alcorcon in this Primera RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcorcon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
35%
19%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcorcon
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hercules have won more games recently than Alcorcon.
- Alcorcon are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 68%
Hercules Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Alcorcon | Hercules |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 9 |
| Draws | 13 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs Hercules
4:0
Sep 28, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs Alcorcon
0:0
Apr 27, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Hercules vs Alcorcon
2:0
Aug 31, 2024 Primera RFEF - Group 2
Alcorcon vs Hercules
4:1
May 17, 2014 LaLiga2
Hercules vs Alcorcon
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Alcorcon Compare
Top Goalscorer Vacas L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Aparicio E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Hercules Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Alcorcon 68 / 100
Hercules 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Alcorcon Hercules
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alcorcon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alcorcon scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Hercules let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Alcorcon remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Alcorcon VS Hercules
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Alcorcon
(Home) 18 Aug
Unionistas de Salamanca
1 : 0 Alcorcon
14 Aug
AD Merida
2 : 1 Alcorcon
12 Aug
Alcorcon
1 : 1 Rayo Majadahonda
08 Aug
Alcorcon
1 : 1 Navalcarnero
01 Aug
Alcorcon
2 : 0 Getafe B
Page 1 of 6
12 Aug
Alcorcon
1 : 1 Rayo Majadahonda
08 Aug
Alcorcon
1 : 1 Navalcarnero
01 Aug
Alcorcon
2 : 0 Getafe B
16 May
Alcorcon
6 : 2 Marbella
01 May
Alcorcon
0 : 1 CE Europa
Page 1 of 3
Hercules
(Away) 14 Aug
Alcoyano
1 : 0 Hercules
13 Aug
Hercules
0 : 2 Valencia
07 Aug
Hercules
0 : 1 Castellon
01 Aug
UCAM Murcia
1 : 1 Hercules
23 May
Hercules
1 : 1 Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 6
14 Aug
Alcoyano
1 : 0 Hercules
01 Aug
UCAM Murcia
1 : 1 Hercules
16 May
Algeciras
0 : 2 Hercules
03 May
Villarreal B
1 : 0 Hercules
19 Apr
Sabadell
1 : 0 Hercules
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eldense | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 57:39 | 69 |
| 2 | Sabadell | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 53:27 | 68 |
| 3 | Atl. Madrid B | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 64:44 | 67 |
| 4 | Villarreal B | 38 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 54:32 | 63 |
| 5 | CE Europa | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 55:50 | 60 |
| 6 | FC Cartagena SAD | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 37:38 | 57 |
| 7 | Antequera | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 47:44 | 56 |
| 8 | Algeciras | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 40:41 | 55 |
| 9 | Hercules | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 43:41 | 54 |
| 10 | Murcia | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 43:40 | 52 |
| 11 | Alcorcon | 38 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 44:38 | 51 |
| 12 | UD Ibiza | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 44:38 | 50 |
| 13 | Teruel | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 27:33 | 49 |
| 14 | Gimnastic de Tarragona | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 40:49 | 47 |
| 15 | Torremolinos | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 45:51 | 46 |
| 16 | Betis B | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 48:59 | 45 |
| 17 | Tarazona | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 31:40 | 45 |
| 18 | Marbella | 38 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 36:55 | 34 |
| 19 | Sanluqueno | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 27:53 | 31 |
| 20 | Sevilla B | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 21:44 | 28 |
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
