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Alcorcon vs Jaen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 2 Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo, Alcorcón
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcorcon host Jaen in the Primera RFEF - Group 2. This one's hard to separate. Alcorcon have averaged 1.59 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Jaen's 1.5 scored and 0.86 conceded. Head-to-head, Alcorcon have won 0 to Jaen's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2014, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.38 - 1.13) back Jaen to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Alcorcon
30%
Draws
31%
Jaen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Alcorcon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Jaen have won more games recently than Alcorcon.
  • Model gives Alcorcon a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Primera RFEF - Group 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Alcorcon Clean Sheet 20%
Jaen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcorcon Jaen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 17
Draws 10 6
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.59 1.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2014 LaLiga2
Alcorcon vs Jaen
0:0
Oct 20, 2013 LaLiga2
Jaen vs Alcorcon
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcorcon 76 / 100
Jaen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcorcon Jaen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcorcon Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Alcorcon scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Jaen let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

Alcorcon went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Alcorcon VS Jaen
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcorcon

(Home)
16 Oct
Alcorcon
1 : 1
Huesca
10 Oct
Teruel
1 : 0
Alcorcon
03 Oct
Alcorcon
5 : 0
Torremolinos
27 Sept
Real Madrid B
1 : 2
Alcorcon
20 Sept
Alcorcon
3 : 0
Gimnastic de Tarragona
Page 1 of 6

Jaen

(Away)
18 Oct
Jaen
1 : 0
Rayo Majadahonda
10 Oct
Jaen
3 : 3
Villarreal B
03 Oct
Hercules
0 : 0
Jaen
27 Sept
Antequera
2 : 0
Jaen
19 Sept
Jaen
2 : 1
UD Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zaragoza 9 6 2 1 17:10 20
2 Villarreal B 8 5 2 1 17:9 17
3 Murcia 8 5 1 2 11:7 16
4 FC Cartagena SAD 8 4 3 1 13:5 15
5 Jaen 8 4 3 1 12:8 15
6 Alcorcon 8 3 4 1 14:6 13
7 UD Ibiza 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
8 Hercules 8 4 1 3 6:7 13
9 Real Madrid B 8 3 3 2 11:9 12
10 Huesca 8 2 5 1 10:10 11
11 Gimnastic de Tarragona 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
12 Antequera 8 2 4 2 13:12 10
13 Algeciras 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
14 Atl. Madrid B 8 2 3 3 16:14 9
15 Sant Andreu 8 2 3 3 9:10 9
16 CE Europa 9 2 1 6 6:15 7
17 Aguilas FC 8 1 3 4 8:14 6
18 Teruel 8 1 2 5 3:14 5
19 Rayo Majadahonda 8 1 1 6 5:9 4
20 Torremolinos 8 0 3 5 10:20 3
Promotion - LaLiga2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)