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Alcoyano vs Ilicitano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Alcoyano host Ilicitano in the Segunda RFEF - Group 3. Little to choose between these two on current form. Alcoyano have averaged 0.97 scored and 0.71 conceded recently, against Ilicitano's 1.55 scored and 1.59 conceded. Head-to-head, Alcoyano have won 2 to Ilicitano's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 10, 2020, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.06) point toward Alcoyano. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Alcoyano
15%
Draws
34%
Ilicitano
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alcoyano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Ilicitano haven't matched Alcoyano's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Alcoyano taking it.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Alcoyano Clean Sheet 68%
Ilicitano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcoyano Ilicitano
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 11 5
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 0.97 1.55
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Alcoyano vs Ilicitano
0:0
Dec 22, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 6
Ilicitano vs Alcoyano
0:3
Feb 15, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Ilicitano vs Alcoyano
2:1
Sep 28, 2014 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Alcoyano vs Ilicitano
1:0
Apr 6, 2014 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Ilicitano vs Alcoyano
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcoyano 50 / 100
Ilicitano 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcoyano Ilicitano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcoyano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilicitano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

Attacking prowess: Alcoyano scored in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Alcoyano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alcoyano VS Ilicitano
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcoyano

(Home)
11 Oct
UCAM Murcia
2 : 0
Alcoyano
04 Oct
Mallorca B
0 : 1
Alcoyano
27 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
Deportiva Minera
20 Sept
Alcoyano
2 : 0
UD Poblense
12 Sept
Castellon B
3 : 0
Alcoyano
Page 1 of 7

Ilicitano

(Away)
10 Oct
Ilicitano
4 : 1
Valencia B
03 Oct
Ilicitano
1 : 5
UCAM Murcia
27 Sept
Yeclano
1 : 0
Ilicitano
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Ciudad Cieza
1 : 0
Ilicitano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 6 4 0 2 14:6 12
2 Castellon B 6 4 0 2 13:7 12
3 La Nucia 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
4 Castellonense 6 4 0 2 10:6 12
5 Ciudad Cieza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 Deportiva Minera 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
7 Alcoyano 6 3 1 2 6:6 10
8 Yeclano 6 2 3 1 5:4 9
9 CF Intercity 6 2 3 1 8:8 9
10 Lorca Deportiva 6 2 2 2 6:5 8
11 Ilicitano 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
12 Orihuela 6 2 1 3 7:14 7
13 Mallorca B 6 1 3 2 4:6 6
14 Baleares 6 1 3 2 8:11 6
15 UD Poblense 6 2 0 4 5:8 6
16 Pena Deportiva 6 1 1 4 6:9 4
17 Valencia B 6 1 1 4 6:11 4
18 Real Murcia B 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)