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Alcoyano vs San Sebastian Reyes

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio El Collao
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Match Events

24' Event
Ruiz F.
56' Event
Gonzalez M.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 game between Alcoyano and San Sebastian Reyes finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward San Sebastian Reyes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Alcoyano
20%
Draws
38%
San Sebastian Reyes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcoyano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • San Sebastian Reyes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alcoyano's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Alcoyano Clean Sheet 68%
San Sebastian Reyes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcoyano San Sebastian Reyes
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 17
Draws 13 9
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
San Sebastian Reyes vs Alcoyano
1:1
May 10, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Alcoyano vs San Sebastian Reyes
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcoyano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

San Sebastian Reyes Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruiz F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcoyano 51 / 100
San Sebastian Reyes 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcoyano San Sebastian Reyes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Sebastian Reyes let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Alcoyano stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Alcoyano's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Alcoyano VS San Sebastian Reyes
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Alaves B2
Jaen3
Baleares4
Coruxo FC1
Deportiva Minera0
CD Coria1
Real Oviedo B3
Tudelano1
UD Logrones4
Getafe B1
San Sebastian Reyes3
Alcoyano1
UD Ourense2
Reus FC Reddis1
Conquense1
Xerez CD1
Aguilas FC4
Utebo FC2
UD Poblense3
Numancia1
Final
Jaen4
Baleares2
CD Coria4
Real Oviedo B0
UD Logrones2
San Sebastian Reyes1
UD Ourense3
Conquense0
Aguilas FC2
UD Poblense1