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Alcudia vs Inter Ibiza

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Alcudia and Inter Ibiza finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Alcudia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Alcudia
20%
Draws
22%
Inter Ibiza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter Ibiza haven't matched Alcudia's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Alcudia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Inter Ibiza here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 13%
Inter Ibiza Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcudia Inter Ibiza
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 17 12
Draws 6 4
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.57 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Inter Ibiza
5:0
Feb 7, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Inter Ibiza vs Alcudia
2:0
Sep 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Inter Ibiza
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcudia 84 / 100
Inter Ibiza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcudia Inter Ibiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcudia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcudia found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (35 games).

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Inter Ibiza let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Alcudia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Alcudia VS Inter Ibiza
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcudia

(Home)
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
18 Apr
Alcudia
2 : 2
Pena Deportiva
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Inter Ibiza

(Away)
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Inter Ibiza
03 May
Inter Ibiza
0 : 1
Llosetense
26 Apr
Cardassar
1 : 0
Inter Ibiza
18 Apr
Inter Ibiza
3 : 1
Manacor
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mercadal 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
2 Alcudia 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
3 Constancia 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
4 Llosetense 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
5 Porreres 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
6 Manacor 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
7 SD Ibiza 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
8 PE Sant Jordi 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
9 Formentera 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
10 Santanyi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
11 Cardassar 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
12 Binissalem 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
13 Platges de Calvia 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
14 Migjorn 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
15 Andratx 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
16 Sineu 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
17 Arenal 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
18 Inter Ibiza 2 0 0 2 0:7 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)