Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcudia vs Llosetense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Riveron S.
18' Event
Ripoll M.
70' Event
Ripoll M.

AI Match Summary

Alcudia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcudia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Alcudia
15%
Draws
46%
Llosetense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Llosetense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Alcudia haven't matched Llosetense's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Alcudia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 16%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcudia Llosetense
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.31 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Llosetense
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Alcudia
2:0
Mar 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Llosetense
1:2
Nov 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Alcudia
1:3
Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Alcudia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcudia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ripoll M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Llosetense Compare

Top Goalscorer Riveron S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcudia 41 / 100
Llosetense 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcudia Llosetense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcudia found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Llosetense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Alcudia has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alcudia VS Llosetense
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcudia

(Home)
26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0
Alcudia
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
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Llosetense

(Away)
26 Sept
Inter Ibiza
1 : 3
Llosetense
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0
Formentera
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)