Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Alcudia vs Migjorn

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Ripoll M.
(Penalty)
8' Event
Tejada C.
40' Event
Mestre S.

AI Match Summary

Alcudia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alcudia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Alcudia
15%
Draws
0%
Migjorn
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alcudia lately — more wins on the board than Migjorn.
  • Win probability leans Alcudia's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 19%
Migjorn Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcudia Migjorn
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 15 4
Draws 4 3
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.49 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 1.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Migjorn
3:0
Nov 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Migjorn vs Alcudia
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcudia Compare

Top Goalscorer Tejada C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mestre S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Migjorn Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcudia 85 / 100
Migjorn 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcudia Migjorn

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcudia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Migjorn let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Migjorn lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Alcudia's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Alcudia VS Migjorn
1.25 Goals Scored 0.4
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.8
88% Over 1.5 40%
63% Over 2.5 40%
50% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcudia

(Home)
26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0
Alcudia
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
Page 1 of 7

Migjorn

(Away)
19 Sept
Manacor
5 : 1
Migjorn
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
06 Sept
PE Sant Jordi
1 : 0
Migjorn
11 May
Migjorn
1 : 3
Porreres
03 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
Migjorn
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Poblense 34 22 6 6 47:17 72
2 Constancia 34 18 13 3 55:31 67
3 Formentera 34 19 9 6 68:34 66
4 Porreres 34 17 11 6 51:32 62
5 Penya Independent 34 17 7 10 59:34 58
6 Platges de Calvia 34 14 12 8 51:37 54
7 Manacor 34 13 12 9 54:36 51
8 Alcudia 34 13 8 13 51:53 47
9 Binissalem 34 13 8 13 35:34 47
10 Llosetense 34 12 8 14 47:45 44
11 Santanyi 34 10 13 11 40:45 43
12 Mercadal 34 10 10 14 40:43 40
13 Felanitx 34 10 10 14 33:50 40
14 Collerense 34 9 12 13 42:48 39
15 Portmany 34 8 13 13 43:51 37
16 PE Sant Jordi 34 8 6 20 30:52 30
17 Campos 34 4 8 22 31:75 20
18 Migjorn 34 4 4 26 22:82 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2024/2025 (Play Offs)