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Alcudia vs Santanyi

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Nebot J.
73' Event
Plomer M.
82' Event
Ripoll M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 game between Alcudia and Santanyi finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santanyi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Alcudia
30%
Draws
37%
Santanyi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santanyi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Alcudia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Alcudia's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 68%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcudia Santanyi
Matches Played 35 38
Wins 16 13
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.6 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.49 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Santanyi
1:2
Mar 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Santanyi
1:1
Nov 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Alcudia
3:2
Mar 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Santanyi
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Alcudia
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcudia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Santanyi Compare

Top Goalscorer Nebot J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Plomer M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcudia 59 / 100
Santanyi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcudia Santanyi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcudia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcudia found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (35 games).

Santanyi has conceded goals in 84% of their last 38 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Alcudia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alcudia VS Santanyi
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcudia

(Home)
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
Page 1 of 7

Santanyi

(Away)
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
30 Aug
Andratx
2 : 1
Santanyi
29 Aug
Collerense
1 : 2
Santanyi
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 SD Ibiza 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
3 PE Sant Jordi 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
4 Cardassar 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
5 Alcudia 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
6 Porreres 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
7 Formentera 3 1 2 0 4:2 5
8 Santanyi 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
9 Constancia 3 1 1 1 4:2 4
10 Mercadal 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
11 Llosetense 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
12 Andratx 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
13 Platges de Calvia 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Arenal 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
15 Sineu 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
16 Binissalem 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
17 Migjorn 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
18 Inter Ibiza 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)