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Alcudia vs Soller

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Quetglas A.
20' Event
Ripoll M.
(Penalty)
20'
Fraile C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Alcudia
20%
Draws
23%
Soller
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alcudia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Alcudia lately — more wins on the board than Soller.
  • Model gives Alcudia a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 68%
Soller Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Alcudia Soller
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 16 4
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 1.51 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.57 3.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Soller
2:2
Oct 29, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Alcudia
2:0
Jun 13, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Alcudia
0:1
May 8, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Soller
0:1
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Soller vs Alcudia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Alcudia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ripoll M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Soller Compare

Top Goalscorer Quetglas A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Plomer M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Alcudia 95 / 100
Soller 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Alcudia Soller

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Alcudia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Alcudia's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Defensive concern: Soller conceded in 97% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Alcudia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Alcudia VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Alcudia

(Home)
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
10 May
Mercadal
3 : 2
Alcudia
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
26 Apr
Felanitx
0 : 2
Alcudia
Page 1 of 8

Soller

(Away)
12 May
Soller
0 : 4
Constancia
05 May
Collerense
4 : 1
Soller
01 May
Soller
3 : 3
Arenal
27 Apr
Binissalem
2 : 1
Soller
21 Apr
Soller
2 : 1
Inter Manacor
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 SD Ibiza 34 27 6 1 73:15 87
2 Mallorca B 34 22 8 4 72:16 74
3 UD Poblense 34 22 8 4 63:15 74
4 Platges de Calvia 34 18 9 7 47:22 63
5 Manacor 34 19 5 10 59:40 62
6 Santanyi 34 16 8 10 46:23 56
7 Constancia 34 15 8 11 44:32 53
8 Alcudia 34 14 7 13 54:44 49
9 Llosetense 34 14 7 13 37:38 49
10 Mercadal 34 12 9 13 33:37 45
11 Binissalem 34 12 7 15 35:38 43
12 Portmany 34 11 9 14 38:38 42
13 Collerense 34 10 8 16 39:55 38
14 Felanitx 34 10 5 19 37:53 35
15 Alaior 34 8 7 19 27:51 31
16 Arenal 34 6 8 20 28:59 26
17 Soller 34 4 5 25 26:98 17
18 Inter Manacor 34 2 4 28 22:106 10
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2023/2024 (Play Offs)