Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aldershot vs Fulham U21

England England

National League Cup 2025/2026 EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground, Aldershot
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Ghandour H.
Assist: Rai K.
42' Event
Kusi Asare J.
Assist: Nwoko C.
43'
Penney M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Aldershot advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Aldershot
20%
Draws
29%
Fulham U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aldershot

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fulham U21 come out ahead of Aldershot on wins alone.
  • Aldershot are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Fulham U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aldershot, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aldershot have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 12%
Fulham U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aldershot Fulham U21
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.21 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2026 National League Cup
Aldershot vs Fulham U21
2:3
Nov 25, 2025 National League Cup
Aldershot vs Fulham U21
2:1
Jan 21, 2025 National League Cup
Aldershot vs Fulham U21
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aldershot Compare

Top Goalscorer Ghandour H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Henry J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Fulham U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kusi Asare J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aldershot 56 / 100
Fulham U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aldershot Fulham U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aldershot Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fulham U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

Aldershot's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aldershot has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Aldershot VS Fulham U21
1.13 Goals Scored 2.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Aldershot

(Home)
19 Sept
Barrow
1 : 0
Aldershot
15 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 1
Yeovil
12 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 2
Aldershot
08 Sept
Aldershot
0 : 3
West Ham U21
05 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 0
Halifax
Page 1 of 6

Fulham U21

(Away)
22 Sept
Leicester
6 : 1
Fulham U21
19 Sept
Chelsea U21
3 : 1
Fulham U21
11 Sept
Fulham U21
3 : 3
Aston Villa U21
08 Sept
Braintree
2 : 1
Fulham U21
31 Aug
Newcastle Utd U21
0 : 4
Fulham U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tamworth 4 4 0 0 12:1 12
2 Brackley 4 3 0 1 7:3 10
3 Rochdale 4 3 0 1 6:5 9
4 Solihull Moors 4 3 0 1 6:3 8
5 Everton U21 4 2 0 2 4:5 5
6 Manchester United U21 4 1 0 3 4:9 3
7 Burnley U21 4 0 0 4 2:8 1
8 Blackburn U21 4 0 0 4 2:9 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 4 4 0 0 13:4 12
2 Braintree 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 6:4 9
4 Forest Green 4 2 0 2 8:6 7
5 Nottingham U21 4 2 0 2 3:3 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 5:10 3
7 Leicester U21 4 1 0 3 6:10 2
8 Wolves U21 4 0 0 4 5:12 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 4 4 0 0 13:4 11
2 Truro 4 3 0 1 7:5 9
3 Woking 4 3 0 1 5:4 8
4 Brighton U21 4 2 0 2 5:6 7
5 Aldershot 4 1 0 3 7:11 4
6 Sutton 4 1 0 3 8:13 4
7 Fulham U21 4 1 0 3 8:5 3
8 Southampton U21 4 1 0 3 7:12 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boston United 4 3 0 1 11:4 9
2 Halifax 4 3 0 1 6:2 9
3 Newcastle Utd U21 4 2 0 2 7:6 7
4 Scunthorpe 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 6:8 6
6 Sunderland U21 4 2 0 2 5:8 6
7 Middlesbrough U21 4 1 0 3 6:7 3
8 Gateshead 4 1 0 3 4:10 2
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)