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Aldershot vs Gateshead - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground, Aldershot
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Peart B.
35'
Sub
Lawless C. In: Borgnis J.
Out: Lawless C.
39'
Lankshear A.

AI Match Summary

Aldershot in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aldershot.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Aldershot
15%
Draws
49%
Gateshead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gateshead

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aldershot lately — more wins on the board than Gateshead.
  • Model gives Aldershot a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 18%
Gateshead Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aldershot Gateshead
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 3
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.43 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.63 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 National League
Aldershot vs Gateshead
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 National League
Aldershot vs Gateshead
0:1
Aug 30, 2025 National League
Gateshead vs Aldershot
3:3
Mar 8, 2025 National League
Aldershot vs Gateshead
3:1
Nov 16, 2024 National League
Gateshead vs Aldershot
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aldershot Compare

Top Goalscorer Peart B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Gateshead Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aldershot 41 / 100
Gateshead 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aldershot Gateshead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gateshead's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Aldershot found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Gateshead's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aldershot VS Gateshead
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aldershot

(Home)
07 Nov
Barnsley
7 : 2
Aldershot
03 Nov
Aldershot
0 : 5
Ipswich U21
31 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 0
Gateshead
28 Oct
Sutton
2 : 0
Aldershot
24 Oct
Aldershot
0 : 1
Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6

Gateshead

(Away)
03 Nov
Gateshead
3 : 1
Stoke City U21
31 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 0
Gateshead
27 Oct
Boston United
2 : 1
Gateshead
20 Oct
Stafford
5 : 0
Gateshead
17 Oct
Gateshead
1 : 1
Stafford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 16 14 2 0 44:17 44
2 Harrogate 16 10 2 4 34:23 32
3 Southend 16 8 5 3 38:27 29
4 AFC Fylde 16 9 2 5 30:24 29
5 Yeovil 16 8 4 4 35:20 28
6 Worthing FC 16 8 4 4 32:25 28
7 Altrincham 16 9 1 6 24:24 28
8 Carlisle 16 7 5 4 32:23 26
9 Barrow 15 7 4 4 26:19 25
10 Halifax 16 7 3 6 28:20 24
11 Sutton 16 7 3 6 20:21 24
12 Woking 16 6 3 7 25:24 21
13 Kidderminster 16 5 6 5 17:16 21
14 Aldershot 16 6 3 7 19:19 21
15 Hornchurch 16 7 0 9 18:26 21
16 Forest Green 14 5 4 5 23:24 19
17 Eastleigh 16 5 4 7 19:25 19
18 Wealdstone 16 5 3 8 23:29 18
19 Boston United 16 5 3 8 21:29 18
20 Tamworth 15 5 2 8 25:32 17
21 Hartlepool 16 5 0 11 18:27 15
22 Solihull Moors 16 4 1 11 19:40 13
23 Scunthorpe 15 3 1 11 19:30 10
24 Gateshead 15 1 1 13 9:34 4
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