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Aldershot vs Harrogate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground, Aldershot
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Abrahams T.
Assist: Dinanga M.
31' Event
Abrahams T.
Assist: Oshilaja K.
40'
Lawless C.

AI Match Summary

Aldershot in this National League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aldershot.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Aldershot
15%
Draws
59%
Harrogate
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harrogate

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Harrogate lately — more wins on the board than Aldershot.
  • Model gives Harrogate a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 12%
Harrogate Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aldershot Harrogate
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.48 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 National League
Aldershot vs Harrogate
3:1
Feb 1, 2020 National League
Aldershot vs Harrogate
1:1
Oct 26, 2019 National League
Harrogate vs Aldershot
1:0
Dec 8, 2018 National League
Harrogate vs Aldershot
4:1
Aug 18, 2018 National League
Aldershot vs Harrogate
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aldershot Compare

Top Goalscorer Abrahams T.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Harrogate Compare

Top Goalscorer Hmami J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aldershot 10 / 100
Harrogate 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aldershot Harrogate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harrogate Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Aldershot scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Harrogate's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Aldershot stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aldershot VS Harrogate
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aldershot

(Home)
07 Nov
Barnsley
7 : 2
Aldershot
03 Nov
Aldershot
0 : 5
Ipswich U21
31 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 0
Gateshead
28 Oct
Sutton
2 : 0
Aldershot
24 Oct
Aldershot
0 : 1
Wealdstone
Page 1 of 6

Harrogate

(Away)
07 Nov
Harrogate
1 : 4
AFC Fylde
31 Oct
Forest Green
2 : 2
Harrogate
28 Oct
Carlisle
3 : 0
Harrogate
24 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1
Sutton
20 Oct
Harrogate
3 : 1
Bury FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 16 14 2 0 44:17 44
2 Harrogate 16 10 2 4 34:23 32
3 Southend 16 8 5 3 38:27 29
4 AFC Fylde 16 9 2 5 30:24 29
5 Yeovil 16 8 4 4 35:20 28
6 Worthing FC 16 8 4 4 32:25 28
7 Altrincham 16 9 1 6 24:24 28
8 Carlisle 16 7 5 4 32:23 26
9 Barrow 15 7 4 4 26:19 25
10 Halifax 16 7 3 6 28:20 24
11 Sutton 16 7 3 6 20:21 24
12 Woking 16 6 3 7 25:24 21
13 Kidderminster 16 5 6 5 17:16 21
14 Aldershot 16 6 3 7 19:19 21
15 Hornchurch 16 7 0 9 18:26 21
16 Forest Green 14 5 4 5 23:24 19
17 Eastleigh 16 5 4 7 19:25 19
18 Wealdstone 16 5 3 8 23:29 18
19 Boston United 16 5 3 8 21:29 18
20 Tamworth 15 5 2 8 25:32 17
21 Hartlepool 16 5 0 11 18:27 15
22 Solihull Moors 16 4 1 11 19:40 13
23 Scunthorpe 15 3 1 11 19:30 10
24 Gateshead 15 1 1 13 9:34 4
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