Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Abrahams T.
Assist: Dinanga M.
31'
31'
Abrahams T.
Assist: Oshilaja K.
40'
40'
Lawless C.
AI Match Summary
Aldershot in this National League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aldershot.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harrogate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Harrogate lately — more wins on the board than Aldershot.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 10%
Harrogate Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aldershot | Harrogate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.31 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2026 National League
Aldershot vs Harrogate
3:1
Feb 1, 2020 National League
Aldershot vs Harrogate
1:1
Oct 26, 2019 National League
Harrogate vs Aldershot
1:0
Dec 8, 2018 National League
Harrogate vs Aldershot
4:1
Aug 18, 2018 National League
Aldershot vs Harrogate
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aldershot Compare
Top Goalscorer Abrahams T.
3 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Harrogate Compare
Top Goalscorer Hmami J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aldershot 34 / 100
Harrogate 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aldershot Harrogate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Harrogate Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Aldershot scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Harrogate's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Aldershot stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aldershot VS Harrogate
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Aldershot
(Home) 19 Sept
Barrow
1 : 0 Aldershot
15 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 1 Yeovil
12 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 2 Aldershot
08 Sept
Aldershot
0 : 3 West Ham U21
05 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 0 Halifax
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 1 Yeovil
08 Sept
Aldershot
0 : 3 West Ham U21
05 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 0 Halifax
28 Aug
Aldershot
3 : 1 Harrogate
18 Aug
Aldershot
2 : 3 Fulham U21
Page 1 of 3
Harrogate
(Away) 19 Sept
Boreham Wood
4 : 1 Harrogate
15 Sept
Harrogate
1 : 2 AFC Fylde
12 Sept
Harrogate
3 : 1 Tamworth
05 Sept
Scunthorpe
0 : 2 Harrogate
31 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 1 Gateshead
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Boreham Wood
4 : 1 Harrogate
05 Sept
Scunthorpe
0 : 2 Harrogate
28 Aug
Aldershot
3 : 1 Harrogate
15 Aug
Wealdstone
1 : 3 Harrogate
21 Jul
South Shields
1 : 2 Harrogate
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23:11 | 23 |
| 2 | Southend | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 20 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:7 | 18 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 20:13 | 17 |
| 5 | Harrogate | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:16 | 16 |
| 6 | Sutton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10:10 | 16 |
| 7 | Yeovil | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 15 |
| 8 | Aldershot | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 9 | Hornchurch | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 11:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Altrincham | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 11 | Worthing FC | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 14 |
| 12 | Eastleigh | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:10 | 14 |
| 13 | Halifax | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:11 | 13 |
| 14 | Forest Green | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 15 | Boston United | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 16 | Carlisle | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 17 | Barrow | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 9 |
| 18 | Woking | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 9 |
| 19 | Hartlepool | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 20 | Wealdstone | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11:15 | 8 |
| 21 | Tamworth | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16:23 | 8 |
| 22 | Scunthorpe | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:15 | 7 |
| 23 | Solihull Moors | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9:23 | 4 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6:20 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
