Sport Picks
Aldershot vs Hartlepool - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
National League EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground, Aldershot 
Match Events
14'
14'
Sub
Gilbert J. In: Frimpong K.
Out: Gilbert J.
40'
40'
Frimpong K.
46'
46'
Sub
Benn J. In: Eccleston N.
Out: Benn J.
AI Match Summary
The National League game between Aldershot and Hartlepool finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hartlepool.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aldershot
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Aldershot come out ahead of Hartlepool on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 13%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aldershot | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 5 | 0 |
| Losses | 11 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 2.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 National League
Aldershot vs Hartlepool
0:1
Jan 31, 2026 National League
Hartlepool vs Aldershot
0:3
Sep 20, 2025 National League
Aldershot vs Hartlepool
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 National League
Aldershot vs Hartlepool
3:2
Oct 26, 2024 National League
Hartlepool vs Aldershot
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aldershot Compare
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Hartlepool Compare
Top Goalscorer McKeown C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aldershot 31 / 100
Hartlepool 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aldershot Hartlepool
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Hartlepool conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.
Aldershot scored in 76% of their last 29 games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Hartlepool lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aldershot VS Hartlepool
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Aldershot
(Home) 03 Nov
Aldershot
0 : 5 Ipswich U21
31 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 0 Gateshead
28 Oct
Sutton
2 : 0 Aldershot
24 Oct
Aldershot
0 : 1 Wealdstone
20 Oct
Tadley Calleva
0 : 2 Aldershot
Page 1 of 6
03 Nov
Aldershot
0 : 5 Ipswich U21
31 Oct
Aldershot
1 : 0 Gateshead
24 Oct
Aldershot
0 : 1 Wealdstone
17 Oct
Aldershot
2 : 2 Tadley Calleva
13 Oct
Aldershot
5 : 3 Norwich U21
Page 1 of 4
Hartlepool
(Away) 03 Nov
Hartlepool
3 : 1 Leeds U21
31 Oct
Boreham Wood
4 : 3 Hartlepool
27 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1 Hartlepool
24 Oct
Hartlepool
2 : 1 Hornchurch
17 Oct
Hartlepool
0 : 2 Marine
Page 1 of 6
31 Oct
Boreham Wood
4 : 3 Hartlepool
27 Oct
AFC Fylde
3 : 1 Hartlepool
10 Oct
Forest Green
2 : 4 Hartlepool
26 Sept
Scunthorpe
4 : 1 Hartlepool
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1 Hartlepool
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44:17 | 44 |
| 2 | Harrogate | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 34:23 | 32 |
| 3 | Southend | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 38:27 | 29 |
| 4 | AFC Fylde | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30:24 | 29 |
| 5 | Yeovil | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 35:20 | 28 |
| 6 | Worthing FC | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 32:25 | 28 |
| 7 | Altrincham | 16 | 9 | 1 | 6 | 24:24 | 28 |
| 8 | Carlisle | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 32:23 | 26 |
| 9 | Barrow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 25 |
| 10 | Halifax | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 28:20 | 24 |
| 11 | Sutton | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 20:21 | 24 |
| 12 | Woking | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25:24 | 21 |
| 13 | Kidderminster | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 17:16 | 21 |
| 14 | Aldershot | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:19 | 21 |
| 15 | Hornchurch | 16 | 7 | 0 | 9 | 18:26 | 21 |
| 16 | Forest Green | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:24 | 19 |
| 17 | Eastleigh | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:25 | 19 |
| 18 | Wealdstone | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 23:29 | 18 |
| 19 | Boston United | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25:32 | 17 |
| 21 | Hartlepool | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 18:27 | 15 |
| 22 | Solihull Moors | 16 | 4 | 1 | 11 | 19:40 | 13 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 19:30 | 10 |
| 24 | Gateshead | 15 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9:34 | 4 |
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
