Sport Picks
Aldershot vs Hartlepool
England
National League EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground, Aldershot 
Match Events
14'
14'
Sub
Gilbert J. In: Frimpong K.
Out: Gilbert J.
40'
40'
Frimpong K.
46'
46'
Sub
Benn J. In: Eccleston N.
Out: Benn J.
AI Match Summary
The National League game between Aldershot and Hartlepool finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hartlepool.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aldershot
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Hartlepool come out ahead of Aldershot on wins alone.
- Aldershot are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Regular National League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 20%
Hartlepool Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Aldershot | Hartlepool |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1.83 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 National League
Aldershot vs Hartlepool
0:1
Jan 31, 2026 National League
Hartlepool vs Aldershot
0:3
Sep 20, 2025 National League
Aldershot vs Hartlepool
1:0
Feb 22, 2025 National League
Aldershot vs Hartlepool
3:2
Oct 26, 2024 National League
Hartlepool vs Aldershot
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Aldershot Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Hartlepool Compare
Top Goalscorer McKeown C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Aldershot 49 / 100
Hartlepool 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Aldershot Hartlepool
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Aldershot Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Aldershot found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
Hartlepool let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Aldershot went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Aldershot VS Hartlepool
1.13 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Aldershot
(Home) 15 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 1 Yeovil
12 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 2 Aldershot
08 Sept
Aldershot
0 : 3 West Ham U21
05 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 0 Halifax
31 Aug
Eastleigh
1 : 1 Aldershot
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 1 Yeovil
08 Sept
Aldershot
0 : 3 West Ham U21
05 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 0 Halifax
28 Aug
Aldershot
3 : 1 Harrogate
18 Aug
Aldershot
2 : 3 Fulham U21
Page 1 of 4
Hartlepool
(Away) 16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1 Hartlepool
11 Sept
Kidderminster
2 : 0 Hartlepool
08 Sept
Hartlepool
0 : 1 Everton U21
05 Sept
Hartlepool
1 : 0 Woking
01 Sept
Halifax
1 : 0 Hartlepool
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1 Hartlepool
11 Sept
Kidderminster
2 : 0 Hartlepool
01 Sept
Halifax
1 : 0 Hartlepool
22 Aug
Sutton
2 : 1 Hartlepool
15 Aug
Aldershot
0 : 1 Hartlepool
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 19:10 | 20 |
| 2 | AFC Fylde | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 19:11 | 17 |
| 3 | Southend | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 17:11 | 17 |
| 4 | Kidderminster | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Harrogate | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 19:12 | 16 |
| 6 | Aldershot | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 7 | Sutton | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9:9 | 15 |
| 8 | Forest Green | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:11 | 13 |
| 9 | Halifax | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13:10 | 12 |
| 10 | Yeovil | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 11 | Hornchurch | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10:12 | 12 |
| 12 | Altrincham | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10:14 | 12 |
| 13 | Worthing FC | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Eastleigh | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 11 |
| 15 | Carlisle | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 10 |
| 16 | Hartlepool | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 17 | Woking | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 | Boston United | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 19 | Wealdstone | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | 8 |
| 20 | Scunthorpe | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 7 |
| 21 | Barrow | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:12 | 6 |
| 22 | Tamworth | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 14:22 | 5 |
| 23 | Gateshead | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5:14 | 4 |
| 24 | Solihull Moors | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8:19 | 4 |
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