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Stadium Background

Aldershot vs Yeovil Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

National League EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground, Aldershot
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Spasov S.
Assist: Westbrooke Z.
18'
Muller H.
29'
Ayina L.

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Aldershot and Yeovil finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Aldershot
30%
Draws
37%
Yeovil
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Yeovil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aldershot come out ahead of Yeovil on wins alone.
  • Aldershot are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Aldershot Clean Sheet 14%
Yeovil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aldershot Yeovil
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 12 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 National League
Aldershot vs Yeovil
1:1
Feb 17, 2026 National League
Yeovil vs Aldershot
1:2
Sep 24, 2025 National League
Aldershot vs Yeovil
1:4
May 5, 2025 National League
Aldershot vs Yeovil
2:1
Sep 28, 2024 National League
Yeovil vs Aldershot
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aldershot Compare

Top Goalscorer Efete M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Yeovil Compare

Top Goalscorer Spasov S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aldershot 35 / 100
Yeovil 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aldershot Yeovil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aldershot found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Yeovil let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Aldershot remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aldershot VS Yeovil
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Aldershot

(Home)
29 Sept
Hornchurch
2 : 1
Aldershot
26 Sept
Aldershot
5 : 1
Tamworth
19 Sept
Barrow
1 : 0
Aldershot
15 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 1
Yeovil
12 Sept
Solihull Moors
1 : 2
Aldershot
Page 1 of 6

Yeovil

(Away)
29 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 1
Worthing FC
26 Sept
Kidderminster
0 : 1
Yeovil
18 Sept
Yeovil
4 : 1
Solihull Moors
15 Sept
Aldershot
1 : 1
Yeovil
12 Sept
Yeovil
1 : 4
AFC Fylde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 11 9 2 0 29:12 29
2 Harrogate 11 7 1 3 25:17 22
3 Southend 11 6 3 2 26:17 21
4 Altrincham 11 7 0 4 16:15 21
5 AFC Fylde 11 6 2 3 21:15 20
6 Yeovil 11 5 4 2 20:15 19
7 Aldershot 11 5 3 3 16:10 18
8 Worthing FC 11 5 3 3 20:17 18
9 Kidderminster 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
10 Hornchurch 11 6 0 5 13:16 18
11 Sutton 11 5 2 4 13:15 17
12 Barrow 11 4 3 4 18:14 15
13 Forest Green 11 4 3 4 17:18 15
14 Eastleigh 11 4 3 4 13:15 15
15 Halifax 11 4 2 5 16:14 14
16 Carlisle 11 3 4 4 20:19 13
17 Wealdstone 11 3 3 5 16:16 12
18 Woking 11 3 3 5 17:18 12
19 Boston United 11 3 3 5 14:15 12
20 Tamworth 11 3 2 6 19:28 11
21 Scunthorpe 11 3 1 7 15:19 10
22 Hartlepool 11 3 0 8 8:16 9
23 Solihull Moors 11 2 1 8 13:28 7
24 Gateshead 11 1 1 9 6:25 4
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