Sport Picks

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Aldier vs Toktogul

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Maslovskiy V.
31' Event
Akhmataliev M.
(Penalty)
75' Event
Moldozhunusov E.

AI Match Summary

Toktogul in this Premier Liga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Toktogul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Aldier
6%
Draws
4%
Toktogul
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Aldier

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Aldier have won more games recently than Toktogul.
  • Model gives Aldier a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Aldier Clean Sheet 18%
Toktogul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aldier Toktogul
Matches Played 30 15
Wins 14 4
Draws 9 1
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.63 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2026 Premier Liga
Aldier vs Toktogul
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aldier Compare

Top Goalscorer Maslovskiy V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Toktogul Compare

Top Goalscorer Moldozhunusov E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aldier 85 / 100
Toktogul 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aldier Toktogul

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aldier scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Toktogul has conceded goals in 93% of their last 15 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Aldier remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aldier VS Toktogul
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Muras United15113135:1436
2Alga Bishkek15105031:1335
3Bars15102343:2232
4Ozgon15102327:1432
5Asia Talas15102337:2632
6Alay Osh1574417:1525
7Aldier1565423:2123
8Dordoi Bishkek1553719:2118
9Talant1537515:1616
10Bishkek City1544715:2216
11Asiagoal Bishkek1535717:2614
12Neftchi Kochkor-Ata1542915:2514
13Ilbirs1527615:2613
14Toktogul15411013:2413
15Abdysh-Ata Kant15221112:278
16Kyrgyzaltyn15041112:344