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Aldosivi 2 vs Velez Sarsfield 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Reserve League
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Sammarone S.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Velez Sarsfield 2 in this Reserve League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Velez Sarsfield 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Aldosivi 2
30%
Draws
51%
Velez Sarsfield 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Velez Sarsfield 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Velez Sarsfield 2 lately — more wins on the board than Aldosivi 2.
  • Model gives Velez Sarsfield 2 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Reserve League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Velez Sarsfield 2 have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Aldosivi 2 Clean Sheet 19%
Velez Sarsfield 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aldosivi 2 Velez Sarsfield 2
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.9 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Reserve League
Aldosivi 2 vs Velez Sarsfield 2
0:1
Apr 15, 2026 Reserve League
Velez Sarsfield 2 vs Aldosivi 2
4:0
Aug 16, 2022 Reserve League
Velez Sarsfield 2 vs Aldosivi 2
2:1
Feb 10, 2022 Reserve League
Velez Sarsfield 2 vs Aldosivi 2
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aldosivi 2 16 / 100
Velez Sarsfield 2 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aldosivi 2 Velez Sarsfield 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Velez Sarsfield 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Aldosivi 2 scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Velez Sarsfield 2 let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Aldosivi 2 remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aldosivi 2 VS Velez Sarsfield 2
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aldosivi 2

(Home)
07 Oct
Aldosivi 2
1 : 0
Tigre 2
29 Sept
San Lorenzo 2
3 : 2
Aldosivi 2
23 Sept
Aldosivi 2
0 : 1
Quilmes 2
15 Sept
Aldosivi 2
0 : 1
Velez Sarsfield 2
08 Sept
River Plate 2
2 : 2
Aldosivi 2
Page 1 of 6

Velez Sarsfield 2

(Away)
08 Oct
Sarmiento Junin 2
0 : 1
Velez Sarsfield 2
01 Oct
Velez Sarsfield 2
1 : 1
Argentinos Jrs 2
22 Sept
Velez Sarsfield 2
4 : 0
Ferro 2
15 Sept
Aldosivi 2
0 : 1
Velez Sarsfield 2
08 Sept
Velez Sarsfield 2
0 : 0
Gimnasia L.P. 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 River Plate 2 12 5 7 0 20:10 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 2 12 5 5 2 12:4 20
3 Gimnasia Mendoza 2 12 6 2 4 14:12 20
4 Rosario Central 2 12 5 5 2 17:16 20
5 Gimnasia L.P. 2 12 4 5 3 13:8 17
6 Sarmiento Junin 2 12 4 5 3 11:8 17
7 Godoy Cruz 2 12 4 5 3 14:12 17
8 San Lorenzo 2 12 5 2 5 13:11 17
9 Talleres Cordoba 2 12 4 5 3 12:11 17
10 Union de Santa Fe 2 12 3 7 2 17:10 16
11 Instituto 2 12 3 6 3 15:16 15
12 Atl. Tucuman 2 12 4 3 5 9:13 15
13 Tigre 2 12 4 2 6 15:20 14
14 Racing Club 2 12 2 7 3 19:20 13
15 Aldosivi 2 12 2 5 5 10:14 11
16 Argentinos Jrs 2 12 2 5 5 7:12 11
17 Banfield 2 12 2 3 7 10:22 9
18 Barracas Central 2 12 1 5 6 8:19 8
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente 2 12 8 3 1 25:9 27
2 Lanus 2 12 8 2 2 23:13 26
3 Deportivo Riestra 2 12 7 2 3 22:11 23
4 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 12 6 5 1 13:7 23
5 Boca Juniors 2 12 6 4 2 16:8 22
6 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 2 12 6 4 2 19:17 22
7 Estudiantes L.P. 2 12 6 3 3 19:11 21
8 Atl. Rafaela 2 12 5 4 3 14:14 19
9 Huracan 2 12 5 2 5 14:10 17
10 Quilmes 2 12 4 4 4 10:10 16
11 Newells Old Boys 2 12 3 5 4 14:12 14
12 Defensa y Justicia 2 12 2 6 4 18:19 12
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 2 12 3 3 6 10:19 12
14 San Martin S.J. 2 12 2 4 6 9:21 10
15 Ind. Rivadavia 2 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
16 Colon Santa Fe 2 12 2 2 8 8:17 8
17 Platense 2 12 0 7 5 6:15 7
18 Ferro 2 12 1 3 8 9:24 6
Promotion - Reserve League (Clausura - Play Offs)