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Aldosivi vs Atl. Tucuman Prediction & H2H Stats

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Sub
Breitenbruch N. In: Sigali L.
Out: Breitenbruch N.
45'
Sub
Lopez E. In: Moya S.
Out: Lopez E.
46'
Sub
Cordero N. In: Palavecino A.
Out: Cordero N.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Profesional game between Aldosivi and Atl. Tucuman finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aldosivi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Aldosivi
15%
Draws
42%
Atl. Tucuman
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aldosivi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Atl. Tucuman carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Aldosivi Clean Sheet 15%
Atl. Tucuman Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aldosivi Atl. Tucuman
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 9 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 0.83 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.34 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs Atl. Tucuman
1:0
Mar 12, 2026 Liga Profesional
Atl. Tucuman vs Aldosivi
1:1
Jul 16, 2022 Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs Atl. Tucuman
0:1
Aug 14, 2021 Liga Profesional
Atl. Tucuman vs Aldosivi
2:2
May 10, 2020 Copa de la Superliga
Atl. Tucuman vs Aldosivi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aldosivi Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Atl. Tucuman Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aldosivi 35 / 100
Atl. Tucuman 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aldosivi Atl. Tucuman

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atl. Tucuman Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Away concern: Atl. Tucuman has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Aldosivi scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Atl. Tucuman's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Aldosivi VS Atl. Tucuman
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Aldosivi

(Home)
04 Oct
Huracan
1 : 0
Aldosivi
21 Sept
Aldosivi
1 : 0
Atl. Tucuman
12 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
4 : 3
Aldosivi
05 Sept
Aldosivi
3 : 1
Banfield
30 Aug
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 1
Aldosivi
Page 1 of 6

Atl. Tucuman

(Away)
03 Oct
Atl. Tucuman
2 : 3
Barracas Central
21 Sept
Aldosivi
1 : 0
Atl. Tucuman
16 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 2
Atl. Tucuman
12 Sept
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2
River Plate
07 Sept
Racing Club
1 : 2
Atl. Tucuman
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 11 8 1 2 17:8 25
2 Defensa y Justicia 11 6 3 2 16:11 21
3 Boca Juniors 11 5 5 1 17:11 20
4 Velez Sarsfield 10 5 5 0 15:9 20
5 Gimnasia Mendoza 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
6 Lanus 11 5 2 4 13:9 17
7 Newells Old Boys 11 4 5 2 11:8 17
8 Independiente 11 5 2 4 11:12 17
9 Union de Santa Fe 11 4 1 6 17:19 13
10 San Lorenzo 11 3 2 6 4:11 11
11 Estudiantes L.P. 10 3 1 6 10:11 10
12 Deportivo Riestra 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
13 Platense 10 2 3 5 9:15 9
14 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 10 2 2 6 7:13 8
15 Talleres Cordoba 11 2 2 7 11:18 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 11 6 3 2 15:10 21
2 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 11 5 4 2 12:7 19
3 Huracan 11 5 4 2 11:8 19
4 Rosario Central 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
5 Ind. Rivadavia 11 5 3 3 15:14 18
6 Gimnasia L.P. 11 5 3 3 16:16 18
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 Barracas Central 11 4 3 4 8:9 15
9 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
10 Atl. Tucuman 11 3 4 4 9:9 13
11 Tigre 11 3 3 5 10:11 12
12 Banfield 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
13 Aldosivi 11 2 2 7 12:17 8
14 Racing Club 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 10 1 3 6 5:13 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)