Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aldosivi vs Ind. Rivadavia

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Moya S.
8' Event
Bucca L.
Assist: Elordi J. M.
45'
Riep A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Aldosivi
33%
Draws
40%
Ind. Rivadavia
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ind. Rivadavia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ind. Rivadavia lately — more wins on the board than Aldosivi.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Ind. Rivadavia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Aldosivi Clean Sheet 15%
Ind. Rivadavia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aldosivi Ind. Rivadavia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 19
Draws 8 6
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 0.86 2.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.86 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs Ind. Rivadavia
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs Ind. Rivadavia
3:1
Apr 23, 2025 Liga Profesional
Ind. Rivadavia vs Aldosivi
1:0
Jun 17, 2023 Primera Nacional
Ind. Rivadavia vs Aldosivi
2:1
Feb 10, 2023 Primera Nacional
Aldosivi vs Ind. Rivadavia
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aldosivi Compare

Top Goalscorer Moya S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.66
Avg xA / game 0.43

Ind. Rivadavia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bucca L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aldosivi 27 / 100
Ind. Rivadavia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aldosivi Ind. Rivadavia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ind. Rivadavia let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Aldosivi stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Aldosivi scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Aldosivi VS Ind. Rivadavia
0.86 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aldosivi

(Home)
18 Jul
River Plate
1 : 3
Aldosivi
03 May
Aldosivi
1 : 1
Ind. Rivadavia
26 Apr
River Plate
3 : 1
Aldosivi
19 Apr
Aldosivi
1 : 1
Racing Club
11 Apr
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
1 : 0
Aldosivi
Page 1 of 6

Ind. Rivadavia

(Away)
12 Jul
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 0
Tigre
28 May
Bolivar
1 : 3
Ind. Rivadavia
21 May
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Ind. Rivadavia
10 May
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 2
Union de Santa Fe
07 May
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 1
Fluminense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Estudiantes L.P.1694319:731
2Boca Juniors1686222:930
3Velez Sarsfield1677218:1228
4Talleres Cordoba1675417:1326
5Independiente1666424:2024
6Lanus1666418:1524
7San Lorenzo1657414:1422
8Union de Santa Fe1656524:2021
9Instituto1663717:1721
10Defensa y Justicia1647518:2119
11Gimnasia Mendoza1654714:2219
12Platense1637610:1516
13Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero)1644811:2116
14Newells Old Boys1636715:2715
15Deportivo Riestra161875:1211
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ind. Rivadavia16104229:1534
2River Plate1692522:1229
3Argentinos Jrs1685317:1329
4Rosario Central1684420:1628
5CA Belgrano de Cordoba1675417:1326
6Gimnasia L.P.1682619:1926
7Huracan1657417:1322
8Racing Club1656517:1521
9Barracas Central1656515:1521
10Tigre1648418:1520
11Sarmiento Junin1661913:2019
12Banfield1653817:1918
13Atl. Tucuman1635815:2014
14Aldosivi160886:198
15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1612135:245
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)