Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aldosivi vs Ind. Rivadavia

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Moya S.
8' Event
Bucca L.
Assist: Elordi J. M.
45'
Riep A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga Profesional matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Aldosivi
15%
Draws
64%
Ind. Rivadavia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ind. Rivadavia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ind. Rivadavia lately — more wins on the board than Aldosivi.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Ind. Rivadavia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Aldosivi Clean Sheet 16%
Ind. Rivadavia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aldosivi Ind. Rivadavia
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 4 18
Draws 10 6
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.93 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Liga Profesional
Ind. Rivadavia vs Aldosivi
4:3
Aug 26, 2026 Copa Argentina
Aldosivi vs Ind. Rivadavia
0:2
May 3, 2026 Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs Ind. Rivadavia
1:1
Nov 1, 2025 Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs Ind. Rivadavia
3:1
Apr 23, 2025 Liga Profesional
Ind. Rivadavia vs Aldosivi
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aldosivi Compare

Top Goalscorer Moya S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ind. Rivadavia Compare

Top Goalscorer Bucca L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aldosivi 23 / 100
Ind. Rivadavia 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aldosivi Ind. Rivadavia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ind. Rivadavia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Ind. Rivadavia has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Aldosivi's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aldosivi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aldosivi VS Ind. Rivadavia
1.25 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Aldosivi

(Home)
12 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
4 : 3
Aldosivi
05 Sept
Aldosivi
3 : 1
Banfield
30 Aug
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 1
Aldosivi
26 Aug
Aldosivi
0 : 2
Ind. Rivadavia
21 Aug
Aldosivi
1 : 3
Union de Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

Ind. Rivadavia

(Away)
16 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 2
Atl. Tucuman
12 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
4 : 3
Aldosivi
06 Sept
River Plate
3 : 1
Ind. Rivadavia
31 Aug
Ind. Rivadavia
3 : 1
Racing Club
26 Aug
Aldosivi
0 : 2
Ind. Rivadavia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Estudiantes L.P. 16 9 4 3 19:7 31
2 Boca Juniors 16 8 6 2 22:9 30
3 Velez Sarsfield 16 7 7 2 18:12 28
4 Talleres Cordoba 16 7 5 4 17:13 26
5 Independiente 16 6 6 4 24:20 24
6 Lanus 16 6 6 4 18:15 24
7 San Lorenzo 16 5 7 4 14:14 22
8 Union de Santa Fe 16 5 6 5 24:20 21
9 Instituto 16 6 3 7 17:17 21
10 Defensa y Justicia 16 4 7 5 18:21 19
11 Gimnasia Mendoza 16 5 4 7 14:22 19
12 Platense 16 3 7 6 10:15 16
13 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 16 4 4 8 11:21 16
14 Newells Old Boys 16 3 6 7 15:27 15
15 Deportivo Riestra 16 1 8 7 5:12 11
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ind. Rivadavia 16 10 4 2 29:15 34
2 River Plate 16 9 2 5 22:12 29
3 Argentinos Jrs 16 8 5 3 17:13 29
4 Rosario Central 16 8 4 4 20:16 28
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 16 7 5 4 17:13 26
6 Gimnasia L.P. 16 8 2 6 19:19 26
7 Huracan 16 5 7 4 17:13 22
8 Racing Club 16 5 6 5 17:15 21
9 Barracas Central 16 5 6 5 15:15 21
10 Tigre 16 4 8 4 18:15 20
11 Sarmiento Junin 16 6 1 9 13:20 19
12 Banfield 16 5 3 8 17:19 18
13 Atl. Tucuman 16 3 5 8 15:20 14
14 Aldosivi 16 0 8 8 6:19 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 16 1 2 13 5:24 5
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Apertura - Play Offs)