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Stadium Background

Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Liga Profesional Estadio José María Minella, Mar del Plata
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aldosivi host Sarmiento Junin in the Liga Profesional. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Aldosivi have averaged 0.83 scored and 1.31 conceded recently, against Sarmiento Junin's 1.1 scored and 1.34 conceded. Past meetings favor Sarmiento Junin slightly — 0-4-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 22, 2026, ending 2:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.63) back Sarmiento Junin to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Aldosivi
15%
Draws
46%
Sarmiento Junin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sarmiento Junin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sarmiento Junin lately — more wins on the board than Aldosivi.
  • Model gives Aldosivi a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Sarmiento Junin here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Aldosivi Clean Sheet 68%
Sarmiento Junin Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aldosivi Sarmiento Junin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 12
Draws 10 3
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.83 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Aldosivi
2:0
Sep 14, 2025 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Aldosivi
2:0
Mar 1, 2025 Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin
2:2
Sep 3, 2022 Liga Profesional
Aldosivi vs Sarmiento Junin
1:2
Oct 9, 2021 Liga Profesional
Sarmiento Junin vs Aldosivi
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aldosivi 50 / 100
Sarmiento Junin 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aldosivi Sarmiento Junin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aldosivi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sarmiento Junin conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Aldosivi's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Aldosivi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Aldosivi VS Sarmiento Junin
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aldosivi

(Home)
21 Sept
Aldosivi
1 : 0
Atl. Tucuman
12 Sept
Ind. Rivadavia
4 : 3
Aldosivi
05 Sept
Aldosivi
3 : 1
Banfield
30 Aug
Argentinos Jrs
2 : 1
Aldosivi
26 Aug
Aldosivi
0 : 2
Ind. Rivadavia
Page 1 of 6

Sarmiento Junin

(Away)
19 Sept
Racing Club
3 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
13 Sept
Sarmiento Junin
1 : 1
CA Belgrano de Cordoba
04 Sept
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
0 : 2
Sarmiento Junin
28 Aug
Union de Santa Fe
4 : 1
Sarmiento Junin
23 Aug
Sarmiento Junin
2 : 0
Estudiantes L.P.
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Instituto 10 7 1 2 13:7 22
2 Velez Sarsfield 10 5 5 0 15:9 20
3 Defensa y Justicia 10 5 3 2 13:11 18
4 Gimnasia Mendoza 10 5 2 3 14:9 17
5 Boca Juniors 10 4 5 1 14:11 17
6 Independiente 10 5 2 3 10:8 17
7 Lanus 10 5 1 4 13:9 16
8 Newells Old Boys 10 4 4 2 11:8 16
9 Union de Santa Fe 10 4 1 5 17:16 13
10 San Lorenzo 10 3 2 5 4:8 11
11 Estudiantes L.P. 10 3 1 6 10:11 10
12 Deportivo Riestra 10 2 4 4 8:10 10
13 Platense 10 2 3 5 9:15 9
14 Talleres Cordoba 10 2 2 6 11:17 8
15 Central Cordoba (Santiago del Estero) 10 2 2 6 7:13 8
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentinos Jrs 10 5 3 2 13:9 18
2 Rosario Central 10 5 3 2 11:8 18
3 Ind. Rivadavia 10 5 2 3 14:13 17
4 Gimnasia L.P. 10 5 2 3 15:15 17
5 CA Belgrano de Cordoba 10 4 4 2 11:7 16
6 Huracan 10 4 4 2 10:8 16
7 Sarmiento Junin 10 5 1 4 17:16 16
8 River Plate 10 4 1 5 13:12 13
9 Atl. Tucuman 10 3 4 3 7:6 13
10 Tigre 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
11 Barracas Central 10 3 3 4 5:7 12
12 Banfield 10 2 3 5 11:16 9
13 Aldosivi 10 2 2 6 12:16 8
14 Racing Club 10 2 2 6 11:16 8
15 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 10 1 3 6 5:13 6
Promotion - Liga Profesional (Clausura - Play Offs)